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There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About China Communications Construction's (HKG:1800) Returns On Capital
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating China Communications Construction (HKG:1800), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for China Communications Construction:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.032 = CN¥31b ÷ (CN¥1.8t - CN¥826b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Thus, China Communications Construction has an ROCE of 3.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 8.3%.
See our latest analysis for China Communications Construction
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Communications Construction compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering China Communications Construction here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
The trend of ROCE doesn't look fantastic because it's fallen from 6.0% five years ago, while the business's capital employed increased by 109%. However, some of the increase in capital employed could be attributed to the recent capital raising that's been completed prior to their latest reporting period, so keep that in mind when looking at the ROCE decrease. It's unlikely that all of the funds raised have been put to work yet, so as a consequence China Communications Construction might not have received a full period of earnings contribution from it.
On a side note, China Communications Construction's current liabilities are still rather high at 46% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
Our Take On China Communications Construction's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by China Communications Construction's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 44% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 2 warning signs for China Communications Construction (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1800
China Communications Construction
Engages in the infrastructure construction, infrastructure design, and dredging businesses.
Solid track record and fair value.