Stock Analysis

China Communications Construction's (HKG:1800) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

SEHK:1800
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China Communications Construction Company Limited's (HKG:1800) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to CN¥0.3226 on 13th of August. The payment will take the dividend yield to 6.5%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that China Communications Construction's stock price has increased by 31% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for China Communications Construction

China Communications Construction's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, China Communications Construction's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 29.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 18%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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SEHK:1800 Historic Dividend May 21st 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.185, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.293. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 4.7% over that duration. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. However, China Communications Construction has only grown its earnings per share at 3.4% per annum over the past five years. While EPS growth is quite low, China Communications Construction has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.

Our Thoughts On China Communications Construction's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think China Communications Construction will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Communications Construction (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is China Communications Construction not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.