Stock Analysis

Sheung Yue Group Holdings' (HKG:1633) Robust Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

SEHK:1633
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Sheung Yue Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1633) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

View our latest analysis for Sheung Yue Group Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1633 Earnings and Revenue History July 27th 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Sheung Yue Group Holdings' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Sheung Yue Group Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.35 for the year to March 2022. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$53m despite its profit of HK$11.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of HK$53m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sheung Yue Group Holdings.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Sheung Yue Group Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$1.8m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Sheung Yue Group Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Sheung Yue Group Holdings' Profit Performance

Sheung Yue Group Holdings had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Sheung Yue Group Holdings' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Sheung Yue Group Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Sheung Yue Group Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Our examination of Sheung Yue Group Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.