Stock Analysis

Investors Holding Back On Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. (HKG:1618)

SEHK:1618
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.7x Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. (HKG:1618) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Metallurgical Corporation of China as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Metallurgical Corporation of China

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1618 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 11th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Metallurgical Corporation of China will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Metallurgical Corporation of China's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 27% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 93% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 35% as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 24%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Metallurgical Corporation of China's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Metallurgical Corporation of China's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Metallurgical Corporation of China currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Metallurgical Corporation of China that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Metallurgical Corporation of China. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Metallurgical Corporation of China is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.