Stock Analysis

Here's Why Anchorstone Holdings (HKG:1592) Can Afford Some Debt

SEHK:1592
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Anchorstone Holdings Limited (HKG:1592) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Anchorstone Holdings

What Is Anchorstone Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Anchorstone Holdings had debt of HK$159.6m, up from HK$146.4m in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1592 Debt to Equity History April 28th 2021

A Look At Anchorstone Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Anchorstone Holdings had liabilities of HK$206.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$3.09m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$218.0k as well as receivables valued at HK$205.9m due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Anchorstone Holdings' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the HK$2.17b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Anchorstone Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Anchorstone Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$170m, which is a fall of 47%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Anchorstone Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost HK$28m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$34m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Anchorstone Holdings is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those can't be ignored...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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