Stock Analysis
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- SEHK:1420
Does Chuan Holdings (HKG:1420) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Chuan Holdings Limited (HKG:1420) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Chuan Holdings
What Is Chuan Holdings's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Chuan Holdings had debt of S$53.6m, up from S$2.45m in one year. However, it also had S$31.2m in cash, and so its net debt is S$22.4m.
How Healthy Is Chuan Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Chuan Holdings had liabilities of S$45.2m due within a year, and liabilities of S$50.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$31.2m as well as receivables valued at S$49.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling S$15.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Chuan Holdings is worth S$28.8m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Chuan Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 15.4 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Pleasingly, Chuan Holdings is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 1,273% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Chuan Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Chuan Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Chuan Holdings's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Chuan Holdings's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Chuan Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1420
Chuan Holdings
An investment holding company, provides general building and construction services in Singapore.