Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, CCT Fortis Holdings Limited (HKG:138) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for CCT Fortis Holdings
What Is CCT Fortis Holdings's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CCT Fortis Holdings had HK$1.94b in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has HK$359.0m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$1.58b.
How Healthy Is CCT Fortis Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CCT Fortis Holdings had liabilities of HK$906.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$1.51b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$359.0m in cash and HK$260.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$1.80b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$148.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, CCT Fortis Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CCT Fortis Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, CCT Fortis Holdings reported revenue of HK$843m, which is a gain of 42%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, CCT Fortis Holdings still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$419m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the fact is that it incinerated HK$65m of cash in the last twelve months, and has precious few liquid assets in comparison to its liabilities. So is this a high risk stock? We think so, and we'd avoid it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CCT Fortis Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:138
CCT Fortis Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the property, automotive, securities, cultural entertainment, and other businesses in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally.
Slight and slightly overvalued.