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Has Jiangnan Group (HKG:1366) Got What It Takes To Become A Multi-Bagger?
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Jiangnan Group (HKG:1366) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Jiangnan Group is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.086 = CN¥545m ÷ (CN¥15b - CN¥8.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
So, Jiangnan Group has an ROCE of 8.6%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 8.9%, it's still a low return by itself.
View our latest analysis for Jiangnan Group
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Jiangnan Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Jiangnan Group's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
We weren't thrilled with the trend because Jiangnan Group's ROCE has reduced by 65% over the last five years, while the business employed 53% more capital. That being said, Jiangnan Group raised some capital prior to their latest results being released, so that could partly explain the increase in capital employed. The funds raised likely haven't been put to work yet so it's worth watching what happens in the future with Jiangnan Group's earnings and if they change as a result from the capital raise.
On a side note, Jiangnan Group's current liabilities are still rather high at 58% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.The Bottom Line
To conclude, we've found that Jiangnan Group is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 64% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
Jiangnan Group does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1366
Jiangnan Group
Jiangnan Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in wires and cables in the People’s Republic of China.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.