Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, China New Energy Limited (HKG:1156) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for China New Energy
How Much Debt Does China New Energy Carry?
As you can see below, China New Energy had CN¥30.0m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥33.7m a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥6.39m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥23.6m.
How Healthy Is China New Energy's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, China New Energy had liabilities of CN¥233.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥12.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.39m and CN¥204.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥34.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
China New Energy has a market capitalization of CN¥60.3m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is China New Energy's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year China New Energy had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 54%, to CN¥46m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While China New Energy's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥51m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥113m into a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China New Energy .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1156
China New Energy
An investment holding company, provides ethanol production system technology integrated services in the People’s Republic of China, Myanmar, Russia, Indonesia, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet very low.