Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Harbin Electric Company Limited (HKG:1133) Even After 30% Share Price Boost
Harbin Electric Company Limited (HKG:1133) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 349% gain over the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 13x, you may still consider Harbin Electric as an attractive investment with its 9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Harbin Electric has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Harbin Electric
Is There Any Growth For Harbin Electric?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Harbin Electric's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 106% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 13% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 13% per year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that Harbin Electric is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Harbin Electric's P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Harbin Electric's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Harbin Electric's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Harbin Electric, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Harbin Electric. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Harbin Electric might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.