Great Wall Motor (HKG:2333) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Great Wall Motor (HKG:2333), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Great Wall Motor is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.068 = CN¥5.4b ÷ (CN¥167b - CN¥87b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
So, Great Wall Motor has an ROCE of 6.8%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 4.4% generated by the Auto industry, it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Great Wall Motor
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Great Wall Motor compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Great Wall Motor's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 6.8% from 23% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a side note, Great Wall Motor's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 52% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 6.8%. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
The Bottom Line On Great Wall Motor's ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Great Wall Motor is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 355% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
If you want to continue researching Great Wall Motor, you might be interested to know about the 3 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2333
Great Wall Motor
Engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, and automotive parts and components in the People's Republic of China, Europe, ASEAN countries, Latin America, the Middle East, Australia, South Africa, and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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