Stock Analysis

Is Aegean Airlines S.A.'s (ATH:AEGN) Latest Stock Performance A Reflection Of Its Financial Health?

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ATSE:AEGN

Aegean Airlines (ATH:AEGN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 9.0% over the last month. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Aegean Airlines' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Aegean Airlines

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Aegean Airlines is:

28% = €130m ÷ €470m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every €1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn €0.28 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Aegean Airlines' Earnings Growth And 28% ROE

First thing first, we like that Aegean Airlines has an impressive ROE. Further, even comparing with the industry average if 28%, the company's ROE is quite respectable. Given the circumstances, the significant 49% net income growth seen by Aegean Airlines over the last five years is not surprising.

We then performed a comparison between Aegean Airlines' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 42% in the same 5-year period.

ATSE:AEGN Past Earnings Growth January 23rd 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Aegean Airlines''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Aegean Airlines Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Aegean Airlines' three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 42%, meaning the company retains 58% of its income. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Aegean Airlines is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Besides, Aegean Airlines has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 52% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Aegean Airlines' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.