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Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization (ATH:HTO) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. (ATH:HTO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization
What Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Debt?
As you can see below, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization had €962.1m of debt at September 2023, down from €1.05b a year prior. However, it does have €524.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €437.7m.
How Healthy Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization had liabilities of €1.76b due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €524.4m and €597.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €1.96b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has a market capitalization of €5.47b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's net debt is only 0.36 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 23.6 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On the other hand, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization saw its EBIT drop by 3.9% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 84% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
The good news is that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ATSE:HTO
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization
Engages in the provision of telecommunications and related services to residential and businesses in Greece and Romania.
Undervalued established dividend payer.