Stock Analysis
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- ATSE:REVOIL
Here's What's Concerning About Revoil's (ATH:REVOIL) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Revoil (ATH:REVOIL) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Revoil is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.078 = €5.8m ÷ (€146m - €72m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Therefore, Revoil has an ROCE of 7.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 11%.
View our latest analysis for Revoil
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Revoil has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Revoil's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Revoil's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.8% from 13% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a related note, Revoil has decreased its current liabilities to 49% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.
In Conclusion...
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Revoil's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 146% over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Revoil (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) that you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ATSE:REVOIL
Revoil
Engages in the trading and marketing of petroleum products for use in automobiles, homes, and vessels in Greece.