Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. (ATH:ELIN)

ATSE:ELIN
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Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A.'s (ATH:ELIN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Greece, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 27x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

The earnings growth achieved at Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ATSE:ELIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 9th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 397% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.9% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.