Stock Analysis

We Think Metlen Energy & Metals (ATH:MYTIL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

ATSE:MYTIL
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Metlen Energy & Metals S.A. (ATH:MYTIL) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Metlen Energy & Metals

How Much Debt Does Metlen Energy & Metals Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Metlen Energy & Metals had €2.85b of debt, an increase on €2.07b, over one year. However, it also had €775.3m in cash, and so its net debt is €2.08b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:MYTIL Debt to Equity History September 10th 2024

How Healthy Is Metlen Energy & Metals' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Metlen Energy & Metals had liabilities of €3.27b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.92b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €775.3m and €2.55b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €2.86b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €4.66b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Metlen Energy & Metals' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Metlen Energy & Metals's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.0 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 10.8 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Metlen Energy & Metals grew its EBIT by 4.1% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Metlen Energy & Metals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Metlen Energy & Metals burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Metlen Energy & Metals's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. In particular, its interest cover was re-invigorating. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Metlen Energy & Metals's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Metlen Energy & Metals (including 2 which are a bit concerning) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.