Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ellaktor S.A. (ATH:ELLAKTOR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Ellaktor Carry?
As you can see below, Ellaktor had €1.65b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €321.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €1.33b.
A Look At Ellaktor's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Ellaktor had liabilities of €693.1m due within a year, and liabilities of €1.80b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €321.3m as well as receivables valued at €827.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.35b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €369.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Ellaktor would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Ellaktor's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Ellaktor had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 38%, to €925m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Ellaktor's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost €15m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized €98m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Ellaktor you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About ATSE:ELLAKTOR
Ellaktor
Through its subsidiaries, operates as an infrastructure company in Greece, other European countries, Gulf countries, and the Americas.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.