Stock Analysis
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- Renewable Energy
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- LSE:DRX
Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£6.30?
While Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the LSE over the last few months, increasing to UK£6.76 at one point, and dropping to the lows of UK£6.12. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Drax Group's current trading price of UK£6.30 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Drax Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Drax Group
What's The Opportunity In Drax Group?
Great news for investors – Drax Group is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. we find that Drax Group’s ratio of 3.54x is below its peer average of 15.67x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Renewable Energy industry. However, given that Drax Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of Drax Group look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Drax Group, at least in the near future.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Although DRX is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to DRX, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on DRX for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Drax Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:DRX
Drax Group
Engages in renewable power generation in the United Kingdom.