Stock Analysis

At UK£3.54, Is Irish Continental Group plc (LON:ICGC) Worth Looking At Closely?

LSE:ICGC
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Irish Continental Group plc (LON:ICGC), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the LSE. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine Irish Continental Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Irish Continental Group

What's The Opportunity In Irish Continental Group?

Irish Continental Group appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 31.28x is currently well-above the industry average of 6.22x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Irish Continental Group’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Irish Continental Group generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:ICGC Earnings and Revenue Growth October 1st 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Irish Continental Group's revenue growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming year, indicating a solid future ahead. Unless expenses grow at the same level, or higher, this top-line growth should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ICGC’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ICGC should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ICGC for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ICGC, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Irish Continental Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Irish Continental Group (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.