FedEx Corporation

LSE:0QZX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$63.8b

FedEx Valuation

Is 0QZX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QZX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$171.47
Fair Value
55.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
29
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0QZX ($265.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($171.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QZX is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QZX?

Key metric: As 0QZX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QZX. This is calculated by dividing 0QZX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QZX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.4x
EarningsUS$3.88b
Market CapUS$63.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QZX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QZX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
IDS International Distribution Services
13.9x27.1%UK£3.5b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.5x8.0%€40.1b
DSV DSV
31.2x20.9%DKK 336.8b
UPS United Parcel Service
16.9x9.4%US$98.1b
0QZX FedEx
16.4x12.9%US$63.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QZX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QZX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QZX 16.4xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QZX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QZX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QZX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QZX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QZX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$265.80
US$323.52
+21.7%
12.6%US$372.00US$200.00n/a29
Jan ’26US$281.59
US$324.08
+15.1%
12.4%US$370.00US$200.00n/a28
Dec ’25US$302.67
US$310.12
+2.5%
10.7%US$365.00US$200.00n/a29
Nov ’25US$275.26
US$307.91
+11.9%
10.4%US$350.00US$200.00n/a29
Oct ’25US$269.90
US$308.33
+14.2%
10.6%US$351.00US$200.00n/a29
Sep ’25US$295.72
US$322.02
+8.9%
10.3%US$360.00US$215.00n/a29
Aug ’25US$297.75
US$320.77
+7.7%
10.3%US$359.00US$215.00n/a28
Jul ’25US$299.16
US$317.55
+6.1%
10.4%US$359.00US$215.00n/a28
Jun ’25US$250.34
US$309.87
+23.8%
10.2%US$351.00US$210.00n/a28
May ’25US$260.67
US$310.21
+19.0%
9.9%US$351.00US$210.00n/a30
Apr ’25US$289.84
US$308.70
+6.5%
10.1%US$351.00US$210.00n/a29
Mar ’25US$246.90
US$293.84
+19.0%
10.5%US$347.00US$195.00n/a30
Feb ’25US$240.52
US$295.33
+22.8%
10.0%US$347.00US$205.00US$265.8031
Jan ’25US$252.53
US$294.07
+16.4%
10.1%US$360.00US$205.00US$281.5931
Dec ’24US$264.61
US$291.90
+10.3%
11.0%US$370.00US$205.00US$302.6730
Nov ’24US$244.21
US$290.47
+18.9%
10.6%US$370.00US$205.00US$275.2630
Oct ’24US$265.43
US$283.37
+6.8%
11.1%US$330.00US$205.00US$269.9030
Sep ’24US$261.20
US$263.37
+0.8%
10.9%US$312.00US$186.00US$295.7230
Aug ’24US$267.44
US$260.03
-2.8%
10.2%US$294.00US$186.00US$297.7530
Jul ’24US$248.46
US$255.27
+2.7%
10.7%US$290.00US$186.00US$299.1630
Jun ’24US$217.67
US$253.34
+16.4%
11.4%US$295.00US$180.00US$250.3429
May ’24US$227.71
US$251.96
+10.7%
11.7%US$305.00US$180.00US$260.6728
Apr ’24US$226.50
US$241.33
+6.5%
13.8%US$305.00US$145.00US$289.8427
Mar ’24US$205.62
US$202.54
-1.5%
15.1%US$257.00US$145.00US$246.9026
Feb ’24US$201.83
US$196.42
-2.7%
13.1%US$240.00US$145.00US$240.5226
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 29 Analysts
US$324.66
Fair Value
18.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
29
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/01 17:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/11/30
Annual Earnings2024/05/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

FedEx Corporation is covered by 56 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
John EadeArgus Research Company
Benjamin HartfordBaird