Stock Analysis

BT Group (LON:BT.A) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At £0.0569

LSE:BT.A
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The board of BT Group plc (LON:BT.A) has announced that the dividend on 11th of September will be increased to £0.0569, which will be 5.6% higher than last year's payment of £0.0539 which covered the same period. This takes the dividend yield to 6.1%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for BT Group

BT Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, BT Group was paying out 92% of earnings and more than 75% of free cash flows. This indicates that the company is more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business, but we don't think that there are necessarily signs that the dividend might be unsustainable.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 56.8%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 56% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

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LSE:BT.A Historic Dividend June 9th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from £0.095 total annually to £0.08. This works out to be a decline of approximately 1.7% per year over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been sinking by 17% over the last five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

BT Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think BT Group will make a great income stock. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 4 warning signs for BT Group that you should be aware of before investing. Is BT Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.