Stock Analysis

# Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz's (LON:KSPI) Stock's On An Uptrend: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

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Kaspi.kz (LON:KSPI) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 12% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Kaspi.kz's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Kaspi.kz

## How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kaspi.kz is:

70% = ₸538b ÷ ₸766b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every \$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn \$0.70 in profit.

## What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

## A Side By Side comparison of Kaspi.kz's Earnings Growth And 70% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Kaspi.kz has a significantly high ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 8.8% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. Under the circumstances, Kaspi.kz's considerable five year net income growth of 41% was to be expected.

As a next step, we compared Kaspi.kz's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 26%.

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is KSPI fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

## Is Kaspi.kz Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Kaspi.kz has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 63%, meaning the company only retains 37% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Additionally, Kaspi.kz has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 74%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Kaspi.kz's future ROE will be 81% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

## Summary

On the whole, we feel that Kaspi.kz's performance has been quite good. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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