Stock Analysis

Are Insiders Too Confident In K3 Business Technology Group plc (LON:KBT)?

AIM:KBT
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K3 Business Technology Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated business solutions to retailers, manufacturers, and distributors in the supply chain sector primarily in the United Kingdom. K3 Business Technology Group is one of United Kingdom’s small-cap stocks that saw some insider buying over the past three months, with insiders investing in 227,907 shares during this period. Generally, insiders buying more shares in their own firm sends a bullish signal. A research published in The MIT Press (1998) concluded that stocks following insider buying outperformed the market by 4.5%. However, it may not be sufficient to base your investment decision merely on these signals. I’ve analysed two possible reasons driving the insiders’ decision to ramp up their investment of late.

See our latest analysis for K3 Business Technology Group

Who Are The Insiders?

AIM:KBT Insider_trading Apr 26th 18
AIM:KBT Insider_trading Apr 26th 18
Over the past three months, more shares have been bought than sold by K3 Business Technology Group's' insiders. In total, individual insiders own over 8 million shares in the business, which makes up around 18.07% of total shares outstanding. Insiders that have recently ramped up their holdings are:
NameManagementBoardTotal Annual Compensation
Per Claesson £15,000

Does Buying Activity Reflect Future Growth?

AIM:KBT Future Profit Apr 26th 18
AIM:KBT Future Profit Apr 26th 18

From the outside, K3 Business Technology Group’s future looks muted. Probing further into annual growth rates,K3 Business Technology Group is expected to experience a limited level of revenue growth next year, Insiders confident in the company's potential to deliver continued growth could provide incentives to buy now.

Can Share Price Volatility Explain The Buy?

Another factor we should consider is whether the timing of these insider transactions coincide with any significant share price movements. A correlation could mean directors are trading on market inefficiencies based on their belief of the company’s intrinsic value. In the past three months, K3 Business Technology Group’s share price reached a high of £1.77 and a low of £1.71. This suggests an immaterial change in share price, with a movement of 3.81%. This could indicate insider transactions are not driven by share price changes but perhaps due to their belief of the company's growth prospects or just personal portfolio re-weighting.

Next Steps:

K3 Business Technology Group’s net buying tells us the stock is in favour with some insiders, which is relatively consistent with expected earnings growth, though share price volatility was perhaps inconsequential to cash in on any mispricing. However, while insider transactions could be a helpful signal, it is definitely not sufficient on its own to make an investment decision. I've compiled two fundamental aspects you should further research:

  1. Financial Health: Does K3 Business Technology Group have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Other High Quality Alternatives : Are there other high quality stocks you could be holding instead of K3 Business Technology Group? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

About AIM:KBT

K3 Business Technology Group

Provides computer software and consultancy services in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Ireland, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Asia, the United States, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet very low.