With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.3x WH Smith PLC (LON:SMWH) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United Kingdom have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
WH Smith could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for WH Smith
Keen to find out how analysts think WH Smith's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For WH Smith?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as WH Smith's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.5% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 29% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that WH Smith's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of WH Smith's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for WH Smith you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than WH Smith. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if WH Smith might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About LSE:SMWH
WH Smith
Operates as a travel retailer in the United Kingdom, North America, Australia, Ireland, Spain, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.