Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that ProCook Group plc (LON:PROC) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for ProCook Group
How Much Debt Does ProCook Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ProCook Group had debt of UK£2.75m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from UK£4.72m over a year. However, it does have UK£2.01m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£749.0k.
How Strong Is ProCook Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that ProCook Group had liabilities of UK£16.8m due within a year, and liabilities of UK£19.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had UK£2.01m in cash and UK£3.89m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£30.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's UK£24.5m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Given net debt is only 0.22 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that ProCook Group's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.8 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Notably, ProCook Group's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 138% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ProCook Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, ProCook Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
ProCook Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. But truth be told its interest cover had us nibbling our nails. Considering this range of data points, we think ProCook Group is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that ProCook Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About LSE:PROC
ProCook Group
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the sale of kitchenware and related products in the United Kingdom.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.