Stock Analysis

JD Sports Fashion (LON:JD.) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

LSE:JD.
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at JD Sports Fashion (LON:JD.), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on JD Sports Fashion is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.18 = UK£1.1b ÷ (UK£8.0b - UK£2.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2023).

Thus, JD Sports Fashion has an ROCE of 18%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 12% generated by the Specialty Retail industry.

See our latest analysis for JD Sports Fashion

roce
LSE:JD. Return on Capital Employed August 20th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for JD Sports Fashion compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering JD Sports Fashion here for free.

So How Is JD Sports Fashion's ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at JD Sports Fashion doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 33%, but since then they've fallen to 18%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a related note, JD Sports Fashion has decreased its current liabilities to 27% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Bottom Line On JD Sports Fashion's ROCE

While returns have fallen for JD Sports Fashion in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 54% to shareholders over the last five years. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.

JD Sports Fashion does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for JD Sports Fashion that you might be interested in.

While JD Sports Fashion may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:JD.

JD Sports Fashion

Engages in the retail of branded sports fashion and outdoor clothing, footwear, accessories, and equipment for kids, women, and men in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, Europe, North America, and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.