Tanger Valuation

Is 0LD4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0LD4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0LD4 ($37.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($37.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0LD4 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0LD4?

Key metric: As 0LD4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0LD4. This is calculated by dividing 0LD4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0LD4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.3x
EarningsUS$94.87m
Market CapUS$4.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0LD4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0LD4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average63.2x
SHC Shaftesbury Capital
66.5x30.4%UK£2.5b
NRR NewRiver REIT
95.3x33.0%UK£286.0m
CAL Capital & Regional
68.9x47.8%UK£144.6m
BBOX Tritax Big Box REIT
22.1x25.4%UK£3.5b
0LD4 Tanger
43.1x1.8%US$4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0LD4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the peer average (63.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0LD4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0LD4 43.3xIndustry Avg. 22.7xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0LD4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (22.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0LD4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0LD4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.3x
Fair PE Ratio16.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0LD4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0LD4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$37.53
US$38.00
+1.3%
6.0%US$41.00US$35.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$33.47
US$32.57
-2.7%
6.7%US$36.00US$30.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$32.87
US$31.71
-3.5%
4.7%US$34.00US$30.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$30.38
US$30.86
+1.6%
4.0%US$33.00US$29.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$28.39
US$30.29
+6.7%
5.8%US$33.00US$28.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$26.23
US$30.29
+15.5%
5.8%US$33.00US$28.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$27.53
US$30.29
+10.0%
5.8%US$33.00US$28.00n/a7
May ’25US$27.83
US$29.29
+5.2%
13.9%US$33.00US$20.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$29.49
US$28.43
-3.6%
15.4%US$33.00US$20.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$28.64
US$27.14
-5.2%
15.3%US$32.00US$20.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$26.91
US$26.00
-3.4%
12.3%US$29.00US$20.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$27.77
US$24.86
-10.5%
14.5%US$29.00US$17.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$25.93
US$23.71
-8.5%
13.1%US$27.00US$17.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$22.64
US$22.71
+0.3%
14.1%US$26.00US$17.00US$33.477
Oct ’24US$22.52
US$22.86
+1.5%
13.3%US$26.00US$17.00US$32.877
Sep ’24US$23.12
US$22.29
-3.6%
14.9%US$26.00US$16.00US$30.387
Aug ’24US$23.52
US$20.50
-12.8%
12.7%US$25.00US$16.00US$28.397
Jul ’24US$21.87
US$20.50
-6.3%
12.7%US$25.00US$16.00US$26.237
Jun ’24US$20.17
US$20.36
+0.9%
11.6%US$24.00US$16.00US$27.537
May ’24US$19.68
US$19.93
+1.3%
11.3%US$24.00US$16.00US$27.837
Apr ’24US$19.18
US$19.43
+1.3%
9.5%US$22.00US$16.00US$29.497
Mar ’24US$18.74
US$18.83
+0.5%
9.4%US$21.00US$16.00US$28.646
Feb ’24US$19.07
US$18.17
-4.7%
13.3%US$21.00US$14.00US$26.916
Jan ’24US$17.85
US$18.17
+1.8%
13.3%US$21.00US$14.00US$27.776
Dec ’23US$19.42
US$17.33
-10.7%
14.4%US$21.00US$14.00US$25.936
Nov ’23US$18.10
US$16.50
-8.8%
14.3%US$21.00US$14.00US$22.646

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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