Stock Analysis

We Think Trustpilot Group (LON:TRST) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

LSE:TRST
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Trustpilot Group (LON:TRST) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

View our latest analysis for Trustpilot Group

When Might Trustpilot Group Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Trustpilot Group last reported its balance sheet in December 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth US$74m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$10m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from December 2022 it had 7.3 years of cash runway. Notably, however, analysts think that Trustpilot Group will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:TRST Debt to Equity History July 24th 2023

How Well Is Trustpilot Group Growing?

At first glance it's a bit worrying to see that Trustpilot Group actually boosted its cash burn by 4.5%, year on year. At least the revenue was up 13% during the period, even if it wasn't up by much. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Trustpilot Group Raise More Cash Easily?

There's no doubt Trustpilot Group seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Trustpilot Group's cash burn of US$10m is about 2.2% of its US$456m market capitalisation. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

Is Trustpilot Group's Cash Burn A Worry?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Trustpilot Group is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. There's no doubt that shareholders can take a lot of heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven before too long. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Trustpilot Group that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

Of course Trustpilot Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.