David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies S4 Capital plc (LON:SFOR) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for S4 Capital
What Is S4 Capital's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, S4 Capital had UK£311.1m of debt, up from UK£90.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£301.0m, its net debt is less, at about UK£10.1m.
A Look At S4 Capital's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that S4 Capital had liabilities of UK£441.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£443.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£301.0m as well as receivables valued at UK£321.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£262.1m.
Given S4 Capital has a market capitalization of UK£1.55b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, S4 Capital has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While S4 Capital's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.12 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.1 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. On top of that, S4 Capital grew its EBIT by 84% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine S4 Capital's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, S4 Capital actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
The good news is that S4 Capital's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that S4 Capital is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - S4 Capital has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:SFOR
S4 Capital
Provides digital advertising and marketing services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.