Stock Analysis

Is Treatt (LON:TET) A Risky Investment?

LSE:TET
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Treatt plc (LON:TET) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Treatt

What Is Treatt's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Treatt had UKĀ£12.6m of debt in March 2021, down from UKĀ£26.5m, one year before. However, it also had UKĀ£8.14m in cash, and so its net debt is UKĀ£4.47m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:TET Debt to Equity History June 21st 2021

How Healthy Is Treatt's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Treatt had liabilities of UKĀ£25.6m due within a year, and liabilities of UKĀ£15.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of UKĀ£8.14m and UKĀ£29.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UKĀ£3.57m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This state of affairs indicates that Treatt's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the UKĀ£730.7m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Treatt has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Treatt has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.21. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 512 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Treatt has boosted its EBIT by 48%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Treatt's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Treatt saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Treatt's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Treatt is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Treatt , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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