Stock Analysis

Rio Tinto Group (LON:RIO) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To $1.38

LSE:RIO
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Rio Tinto Group (LON:RIO) has announced that on 21st of September, it will be paying a dividend of$1.38, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. Despite the cut, the dividend yield of 7.3% will still be comparable to other companies in the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Rio Tinto Group

Rio Tinto Group's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Prior to this announcement, Rio Tinto Group's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 129% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 7.0%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 65%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

historic-dividend
LSE:RIO Historic Dividend July 29th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $1.58 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of $4.81. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 12% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Although it's important to note that Rio Tinto Group's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.

Rio Tinto Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We don't think Rio Tinto Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Rio Tinto Group that you should be aware of before investing. Is Rio Tinto Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.