Stock Analysis

Here's Why Johnson Matthey (LON:JMAT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

LSE:JMAT
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Johnson Matthey Plc (LON:JMAT) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Johnson Matthey's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Johnson Matthey had UK£1.64b of debt, an increase on UK£1.20b, over one year. On the flip side, it has UK£650.0m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£993.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:JMAT Debt to Equity History June 25th 2023

How Strong Is Johnson Matthey's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Johnson Matthey had liabilities of UK£2.89b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.60b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£650.0m in cash and UK£1.81b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£2.03b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£2.89b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Johnson Matthey's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 11.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. On the other hand, Johnson Matthey saw its EBIT drop by 7.2% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Johnson Matthey can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Johnson Matthey recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Johnson Matthey's EBIT growth rate and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Johnson Matthey is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Johnson Matthey has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Johnson Matthey is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:JMAT

Johnson Matthey

Johnson Matthey Plc engages in the clean air, catalyst and hydrogen technology, and platinum group metals (PGM) service businesses in the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of North America, China, rest of Asia, and internationally.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.