Glencore Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Glencore's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -27.3%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 0.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 6.2% per year. Glencore's return on equity is 0.4%, and it has net margins of 0.1%.
Key information
-27.32%
Earnings growth rate
-27.17%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining Industry Growth | 19.58% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.22% |
| Return on equity | 0.36% |
| Net Margin | 0.15% |
| Next Earnings Update | 05 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 29
GLEN: Copper Shift And Rising Fair Value Will Drive Medium Term Rerating
Glencore's analyst price targets have moved in both directions, with several banks raising estimates toward the £5.60 to £6.10 range, while others, citing a shift toward copper and earnings pressure in iron ore, have trimmed targets to around £5.30. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore shows a split in opinion, but the most optimistic commentary highlights higher price targets and confidence in the company’s ability to execute on its portfolio mix, particularly around copper exposure and capital allocation.
New Narrative • Jun 19
Copper Expansion And Political Risks Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Profile
Catalysts About Glencore Glencore is a diversified natural resources group involved in mining, processing and marketing of metals, energy products and other commodities. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Jun 15
GLEN: Future Copper Expansion And Labor Challenges Will Shape Fair Execution Outlook
Glencore's revised analyst price target has edged higher, with recent moves from banks such as Deutsche Bank lifting targets from around £5.50 to £6.10 per share as analysts refresh their models on revenue growth, margins and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore points to a cluster of upward revisions to price targets, with key moves coming from major banks such as JPMorgan and Deutsche Bank alongside upgrades and target lifts from other institutions.Narrative Update • Jun 01
GLEN: Fair Outlook Will Balance Tighter Earnings Execution With Recent Production And Labor Developments
Analysts have nudged Glencore's fair value estimate higher, with the updated model pointing to roughly a £0.17 per share uplift, helped by slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions alongside a modestly higher future P/E, in line with recent Street target moves toward £5.60 to £6.10. Analyst Commentary Street research on Glencore has leaned toward higher price targets in recent months, with a mix of upgrades and trims that leave the stock trading against a fairly tight valuation range in the £4.60 to £6.10 per share bracket.Narrative Update • Apr 27
GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Ended Megamerger Talks With Evolving Earnings Expectations
Glencore's analyst price target has been lifted by £0.13. Analysts point to updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly higher fair value estimate and a somewhat richer future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.Narrative Update • Apr 12
GLEN: Fair Outlook Weighs Ended Megamerger Talks And Mixed Earnings Expectations
The analyst price target for Glencore has been revised higher, with recent moves such as Morgan Stanley’s £0.40 increase and several other target lifts pointing to analysts factoring in slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E assumption, despite a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several target changes and rating adjustments reflecting differing views on how execution, commodity exposure and capital allocation might influence the share price over time.Narrative Update • Mar 28
GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Ended Megamerger Talks And Evolving Earnings Expectations
Glencore's analyst price target has shifted within a relatively tight range, with moves such as JPMorgan trimming its view to £4.60 and Berenberg nudging its target to £6.00. Analysts are reassessing fair value using slightly lower discount rates, modestly different revenue growth assumptions, and small adjustments to expected profit margins and future P/E.Narrative Update • Mar 12
GLEN: Fair Outlook Weighs Ended Megamerger Talks And Mixed Earnings Expectations
Glencore's updated analyst price target edges lower to £4.60, reflecting a mix of recent target cuts and raises as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates, modestly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore shows a split in views, with some high profile firms lifting their targets and others turning more cautious.Narrative Update • Feb 26
GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Ended Megamerger Talks With Refined Earnings Assumptions
Analysts have lifted their price target on Glencore to £5.50 per share from £5.25, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E that together support a modestly higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Glencore has been active, with several major banks updating their price targets and ratings in quick succession.Narrative Update • Feb 10
GLEN: Fair Outlook Weighs Ended Megamerger Talks Against Evolving Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their Glencore price targets, citing updated assumptions that show fair value at 5.30, slightly higher discount rates at 9.03%, and modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore shows active debate around where fair value sits, with several price target changes and at least one downgrade shaping a mixed picture.Narrative Update • Jan 27
GLEN: Fair Outlook Sees Megamerger Talks And Smelter Closure Reshape Risk Balance
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Glencore, with recent increases to £4.80 and £4.40 per share supporting a higher fair value estimate and slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts who set price targets at £4.80 and £4.40 per share are signaling confidence that their fair value assumptions support share levels above recent trading ranges.Analysis Article • Jan 14
Glencore plc's (LON:GLEN) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Despite an already strong run, Glencore plc ( LON:GLEN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last...Narrative Update • Jan 12
GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Megamerger Talks With Mixed Production And Asset Closures
Narrative update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Glencore to a range of £4.40 to £4.80, supported by refreshed models that reflect adjusted discount rates, updated revenue growth assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore points to a tighter cluster of price targets in the £4.40 to £4.80 range, as bullish analysts refresh their models and refine assumptions on earnings and valuation multiples.Narrative Update • Dec 15
GLEN: Higher Share Price Is Expected To Follow Clear Operational Delivery
Our Glencore analyst price target has been raised modestly, reflecting incremental fair value and profit margin upside as analysts highlight a series of upward target revisions, including moves to 400 GBp and 440 GBp, despite only slightly higher discount rate assumptions and tempered revenue growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Glencore point to a broadly constructive stance on the shares, with multiple upward revisions to sterling based price targets partially offset by a more cautious view on near term execution risk.Narrative Update • Nov 30
GLEN: Higher Price Expectations Will Depend On Delivering Key Operational Improvements
The analyst consensus price target for Glencore has increased from 400 GBp to 440 GBp, as analysts cite improved valuation metrics and ongoing strength in the company’s fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports have highlighted both positive developments and ongoing challenges regarding Glencore's outlook.Analysis Article • Nov 19
Calculating The Fair Value Of Glencore plc (LON:GLEN)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Glencore fair value estimate is UK£3.67 Glencore's UK£3.56...Narrative Update • Nov 16
GLEN: Operational Delivery And Project Updates Will Shape Outlook Amid Market Caution
The consensus analyst price target for Glencore has been increased from £3.70 to £4.00, reflecting cautious optimism from analysts based on slightly higher valuations and the expectation of improved operational delivery. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of optimism and caution regarding Glencore's outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 02
GLEN: Operational Delivery And Asset Quality Will Shape Near-Term Performance
Glencore's analyst price target has been raised, increasing from £3.93 to £4.00 per share. Analysts cite improved market outlook and expectations for operational delivery, despite a marginal downgrade in projected growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success
Glencore's analyst price target has been raised, with consensus estimates increasing to 400 GBp from 370 GBp. Analysts cite improved profit margins and the company's strong operational outlook despite recent calls for further delivery. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment towards Glencore remains mixed following the company’s recent target price revisions and ratings changes.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success
Glencore's analyst price target has increased to £3.77 from £3.66 per share, as analysts cite improved revenue growth and stronger profit margins as key factors supporting the revised valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights a mix of both optimism and caution regarding Glencore's near-term performance and valuation.Narrative Update • Sep 19
Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success
Glencore’s consensus price target has edged lower to £3.66 as analysts react to near-term free cash flow pressure from coal price weakness and commodity market volatility, though confidence in the company’s diversified assets and long-term positioning has limited the downward revision. Analyst Commentary Analysts cite near-term pressure on Glencore's free cash flow due to weakness in coal prices, leading to more cautious stances.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success
Despite near-term concerns over coal price weakness and commodity volatility, analysts remain divided on Glencore, with operational resilience and medium-term prospects balancing cautious views and leaving the consensus price target unchanged at £3.71. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight near-term pressure on Glencore's free cash flow resulting from weakness in coal prices.Analysis Article • Jul 07
Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Glencore plc (LON:GLEN)
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Glencore plc ( LON:GLEN ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
New Narrative • Apr 22
Integration Of EVR And Rising Copper Output Will Drive Success
Integration of coal assets and supply discipline could drive earnings via synergies, cost reductions, and potentially higher pricing, boosting margins and revenues.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Glencore makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 247,535 | 363 | 2,528 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 239,392 | -846 | 2,482 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 231,249 | -2,056 | 2,436 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 231,097 | -1,845 | 2,323 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 230,944 | -1,634 | 2,209 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 229,225 | -1,077 | 2,130 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 227,505 | -521 | 2,051 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 222,667 | 1,880 | 2,068 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 217,829 | 4,280 | 2,084 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 223,397 | 7,042 | 2,200 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 228,964 | 9,803 | 2,315 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 242,474 | 13,562 | 2,501 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 255,984 | 17,320 | 2,686 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 250,183 | 16,551 | 2,590 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 244,381 | 15,782 | 2,494 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 224,066 | 10,378 | 2,305 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 203,751 | 4,974 | 2,115 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 184,467 | 3,474 | 1,940 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 165,182 | 1,974 | 1,765 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 153,760 | 36 | 1,723 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 142,338 | -1,903 | 1,681 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 160,491 | -2,566 | 1,687 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 178,643 | -3,230 | 1,692 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 196,877 | -1,817 | 1,542 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 215,111 | -404 | 1,391 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 217,255 | 227 | 1,300 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 219,399 | 858 | 1,209 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 219,962 | 2,133 | 1,295 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 220,524 | 3,408 | 1,381 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 217,134 | 4,756 | 1,426 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 213,743 | 6,103 | 1,471 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 209,610 | 5,940 | 1,391 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 205,476 | 5,777 | 1,310 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 194,643 | 3,942 | 1,262 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 183,810 | 2,107 | 1,213 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 168,379 | 682 | 1,158 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 152,948 | -744 | 1,102 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 147,934 | -2,790 | 1,095 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 142,919 | -4,836 | 1,087 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 145,135 | -5,028 | 1,092 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 147,351 | -5,220 | 1,096 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 164,109 | -2,708 | 1,119 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: GLEN has a large one-off loss of $771.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st December, 2025.
Growing Profit Margin: GLEN became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: GLEN has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -27.3% per year.
Accelerating Growth: GLEN has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: GLEN has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Metals and Mining industry (70.5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: GLEN's Return on Equity (0.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 03:26 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Glencore plc is covered by 31 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Wade Napier | Avior Capital Markets |
| David Simon Butler | Barclays |
| Izak Rossouw | Barclays |