Glencore plc

LSE:GLEN Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£66.7b

Glencore Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Glencore is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 22.4% and 1.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 24.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.8% in 3 years.

Key information

22.4%

Earnings growth rate

24.59%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth16.9%
Revenue growth rate1.1%
Future return on equity14.78%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated21 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 27

GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Ended Megamerger Talks With Evolving Earnings Expectations

Glencore's analyst price target has been lifted by £0.13. Analysts point to updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly higher fair value estimate and a somewhat richer future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.
Narrative Update • Apr 12

GLEN: Fair Outlook Weighs Ended Megamerger Talks And Mixed Earnings Expectations

The analyst price target for Glencore has been revised higher, with recent moves such as Morgan Stanley’s £0.40 increase and several other target lifts pointing to analysts factoring in slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E assumption, despite a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several target changes and rating adjustments reflecting differing views on how execution, commodity exposure and capital allocation might influence the share price over time.
Narrative Update • Mar 28

GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Ended Megamerger Talks And Evolving Earnings Expectations

Glencore's analyst price target has shifted within a relatively tight range, with moves such as JPMorgan trimming its view to £4.60 and Berenberg nudging its target to £6.00. Analysts are reassessing fair value using slightly lower discount rates, modestly different revenue growth assumptions, and small adjustments to expected profit margins and future P/E.
Narrative Update • Mar 12

GLEN: Fair Outlook Weighs Ended Megamerger Talks And Mixed Earnings Expectations

Glencore's updated analyst price target edges lower to £4.60, reflecting a mix of recent target cuts and raises as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates, modestly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore shows a split in views, with some high profile firms lifting their targets and others turning more cautious.
Narrative Update • Feb 26

GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Ended Megamerger Talks With Refined Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their price target on Glencore to £5.50 per share from £5.25, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E that together support a modestly higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Glencore has been active, with several major banks updating their price targets and ratings in quick succession.
Narrative Update • Feb 10

GLEN: Fair Outlook Weighs Ended Megamerger Talks Against Evolving Earnings Power

Analysts have lifted their Glencore price targets, citing updated assumptions that show fair value at 5.30, slightly higher discount rates at 9.03%, and modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore shows active debate around where fair value sits, with several price target changes and at least one downgrade shaping a mixed picture.
Narrative Update • Jan 27

GLEN: Fair Outlook Sees Megamerger Talks And Smelter Closure Reshape Risk Balance

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Glencore, with recent increases to £4.80 and £4.40 per share supporting a higher fair value estimate and slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts who set price targets at £4.80 and £4.40 per share are signaling confidence that their fair value assumptions support share levels above recent trading ranges.
Analysis Article • Jan 14

Glencore plc's (LON:GLEN) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Despite an already strong run, Glencore plc ( LON:GLEN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last...
Narrative Update • Jan 12

GLEN: Fair Outlook Balances Megamerger Talks With Mixed Production And Asset Closures

Narrative update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Glencore to a range of £4.40 to £4.80, supported by refreshed models that reflect adjusted discount rates, updated revenue growth assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Glencore points to a tighter cluster of price targets in the £4.40 to £4.80 range, as bullish analysts refresh their models and refine assumptions on earnings and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update • Dec 15

GLEN: Higher Share Price Is Expected To Follow Clear Operational Delivery

Our Glencore analyst price target has been raised modestly, reflecting incremental fair value and profit margin upside as analysts highlight a series of upward target revisions, including moves to 400 GBp and 440 GBp, despite only slightly higher discount rate assumptions and tempered revenue growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Glencore point to a broadly constructive stance on the shares, with multiple upward revisions to sterling based price targets partially offset by a more cautious view on near term execution risk.
Narrative Update • Nov 30

GLEN: Higher Price Expectations Will Depend On Delivering Key Operational Improvements

The analyst consensus price target for Glencore has increased from 400 GBp to 440 GBp, as analysts cite improved valuation metrics and ongoing strength in the company’s fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports have highlighted both positive developments and ongoing challenges regarding Glencore's outlook.
Analysis Article • Nov 19

Calculating The Fair Value Of Glencore plc (LON:GLEN)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Glencore fair value estimate is UK£3.67 Glencore's UK£3.56...
Narrative Update • Nov 16

GLEN: Operational Delivery And Project Updates Will Shape Outlook Amid Market Caution

The consensus analyst price target for Glencore has been increased from £3.70 to £4.00, reflecting cautious optimism from analysts based on slightly higher valuations and the expectation of improved operational delivery. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of optimism and caution regarding Glencore's outlook.
Narrative Update • Nov 02

GLEN: Operational Delivery And Asset Quality Will Shape Near-Term Performance

Glencore's analyst price target has been raised, increasing from £3.93 to £4.00 per share. Analysts cite improved market outlook and expectations for operational delivery, despite a marginal downgrade in projected growth and profit margins.
Narrative Update • Oct 18

Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success

Glencore's analyst price target has been raised, with consensus estimates increasing to 400 GBp from 370 GBp. Analysts cite improved profit margins and the company's strong operational outlook despite recent calls for further delivery. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment towards Glencore remains mixed following the company’s recent target price revisions and ratings changes.
Narrative Update • Oct 04

Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success

Glencore's analyst price target has increased to £3.77 from £3.66 per share, as analysts cite improved revenue growth and stronger profit margins as key factors supporting the revised valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights a mix of both optimism and caution regarding Glencore's near-term performance and valuation.
Narrative Update • Sep 19

Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success

Glencore’s consensus price target has edged lower to £3.66 as analysts react to near-term free cash flow pressure from coal price weakness and commodity market volatility, though confidence in the company’s diversified assets and long-term positioning has limited the downward revision. Analyst Commentary Analysts cite near-term pressure on Glencore's free cash flow due to weakness in coal prices, leading to more cautious stances.
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Normalized Copper Production And Argentina Projects Will Shape Future Success

Despite near-term concerns over coal price weakness and commodity volatility, analysts remain divided on Glencore, with operational resilience and medium-term prospects balancing cautious views and leaving the consensus price target unchanged at £3.71. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight near-term pressure on Glencore's free cash flow resulting from weakness in coal prices.
Analysis Article • Jul 07

Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Glencore plc (LON:GLEN)

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Glencore plc ( LON:GLEN ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
Analysis Article • Jun 16

Glencore (LON:GLEN) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...
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New Narrative • Apr 22

Integration Of EVR And Rising Copper Output Will Drive Success

Integration of coal assets and supply discipline could drive earnings via synergies, cost reductions, and potentially higher pricing, boosting margins and revenues.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:GLEN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028271,4446,3335,93111,69914
12/31/2027271,2086,1265,44610,93216
12/31/2026281,2066,2706,70712,20615
12/31/2025247,535363-2905,642N/A
9/30/2025239,392-846-735,849N/A
6/30/2025231,249-2,0561436,056N/A
3/31/2025231,097-1,8452,2948,056N/A
12/31/2024230,944-1,6344,44410,055N/A
9/30/2024229,225-1,0774,88310,080N/A
6/30/2024227,505-5215,32210,104N/A
3/31/2024222,6671,8805,93710,570N/A
12/31/2023217,8294,2806,55211,036N/A
9/30/2023223,3977,0428,05412,486N/A
6/30/2023228,9649,8039,55513,936N/A
3/31/2023242,47413,5629,51913,798N/A
12/31/2022255,98417,3209,48213,659N/A
9/30/2022250,18316,5517,31511,377N/A
6/30/2022244,38115,7825,1479,095N/A
3/31/2022224,06610,3785,1958,978N/A
12/31/2021203,7514,9745,2428,860N/A
9/30/2021184,4673,4745,0058,596N/A
6/30/2021165,1821,9744,7678,331N/A
3/31/2021153,760361,9315,498N/A
12/31/2020142,338-1,903-9052,664N/A
9/30/2020160,491-2,566N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2020178,643-3,230-4193,735N/A
3/31/2020196,877-1,8171,7996,232N/A
12/31/2019215,111-4044,0178,729N/A
9/30/2019217,255227N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2019219,399858N/A11,254N/A
3/31/2019219,9622,133N/A11,407N/A
12/31/2018220,5243,408N/A11,559N/A
9/30/2018217,1344,756N/A8,303N/A
6/30/2018213,7436,103N/A5,047N/A
3/31/2018209,6105,940N/A4,932N/A
12/31/2017205,4765,777N/A4,817N/A
9/30/2017194,6433,942N/A5,527N/A
6/30/2017183,8102,107N/A6,236N/A
3/31/2017168,379682N/A5,535N/A
12/31/2016152,948-744N/A4,833N/A
9/30/2016147,934-2,790N/A7,023N/A
6/30/2016142,919-4,836N/A9,212N/A
3/31/2016145,135-5,028N/A11,215N/A
12/31/2015147,351-5,220N/A13,218N/A
9/30/2015164,109-2,708N/A12,212N/A
6/30/2015180,866-197N/A11,205N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GLEN's forecast earnings growth (22.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: GLEN's earnings (22.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (11.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GLEN's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GLEN's revenue (1.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (4.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GLEN's revenue (1.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GLEN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 00:32
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Glencore plc is covered by 33 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wade NapierAvior Capital Markets
David Simon ButlerBarclays
Izak RossouwBarclays