KGHM Polska Miedz Valuation

Is 0O8D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0O8D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0O8D (PLN142.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN108.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0O8D is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0O8D?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0O8D key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0O8D's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0O8D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
ANTO Antofagasta
4.3x7.1%UK£21.6b
ATYM Atalaya Mining
2.1x15.6%UK£602.3m
CAML Central Asia Metals
2.4x0.8%UK£368.8m
FRES Fresnillo
1.9x1.0%UK£4.0b
0O8D KGHM Polska Miedz
0.8x0.4%zł28.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0O8D is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0O8D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0O8D is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0O8D's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0O8D PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 0O8D's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0O8D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł142.21
zł118.43
-16.7%
32.1%zł185.00zł62.00n/a9
Apr ’25n/a
zł98.01
0%
24.2%zł141.00zł62.00n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
zł96.71
0%
25.0%zł141.00zł62.00n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
zł96.71
0%
25.0%zł141.00zł62.00n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
zł98.41
0%
24.8%zł141.00zł62.00n/a10
Dec ’24n/a
zł98.61
0%
24.0%zł141.00zł62.00n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
zł103.19
0%
26.4%zł151.67zł70.00n/a9
Oct ’24n/a
zł106.74
0%
23.5%zł151.67zł75.00n/a9
Sep ’24n/a
zł107.07
0%
24.8%zł151.67zł75.00n/a9
Aug ’24n/a
zł109.19
0%
24.9%zł151.67zł75.00n/a9
Jul ’24n/a
zł111.47
0%
23.3%zł151.67zł75.00n/a10
Jun ’24zł104.60
zł111.07
+6.2%
23.6%zł151.67zł75.00n/a10
May ’24n/a
zł113.77
0%
20.6%zł151.67zł75.00zł142.2111
Apr ’24zł118.50
zł111.04
-6.3%
20.2%zł151.70zł75.00n/a11
Mar ’24n/a
zł112.65
0%
17.4%zł149.00zł75.00n/a11
Feb ’24zł143.00
zł112.01
-21.7%
17.5%zł149.00zł75.00n/a11
Jan ’24n/a
zł117.26
0%
19.9%zł160.00zł75.00n/a12
Dec ’23n/a
zł110.51
0%
21.9%zł160.00zł75.00n/a12
Nov ’23zł95.46
zł113.59
+19.0%
35.0%zł214.00zł75.00n/a10
Oct ’23n/a
zł124.49
0%
31.6%zł214.00zł70.00n/a10
Sep ’23zł84.80
zł131.09
+54.6%
31.3%zł214.00zł70.00n/a10
Aug ’23n/a
zł145.09
0%
31.5%zł250.00zł87.00n/a10
Jul ’23n/a
zł172.65
0%
19.8%zł250.00zł120.00n/a11
Jun ’23zł141.75
zł172.46
+21.7%
19.6%zł250.00zł120.00zł104.6011
May ’23zł145.09
zł176.70
+21.8%
16.7%zł240.00zł129.00n/a11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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