Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)

LSE:0MCK Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 97.7b

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget Valuation

Is 0MCK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MCK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 106.51
Fair Value
31.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0MCK (SEK140.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK106.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MCK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MCK?

Key metric: As 0MCK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0MCK. This is calculated by dividing 0MCK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0MCK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.9x
EarningsSEK 3.67b
Market CapSEK 97.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MCK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MCK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.9x
MNDI Mondi
15.8x13.3%UK£5.1b
SMDS DS Smith
34.9x18.8%UK£7.6b
FRES Fresnillo
24.4x33.6%UK£4.8b
CRDA Croda International
28.5x14.9%UK£4.6b
0MCK Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget
26.9x13.8%SEK 97.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the peer average (25.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MCK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0MCK 26.9xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (10.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MCK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MCK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.9x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MCK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 140.10
SEK 155.54
+11.0%
11.3%SEK 185.00SEK 119.00n/a13
Jan ’26SEK 140.00
SEK 154.85
+10.6%
12.5%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a13
Dec ’25SEK 140.33
SEK 155.62
+10.9%
12.9%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a13
Nov ’25SEK 140.81
SEK 154.00
+9.4%
15.1%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a12
Oct ’25SEK 148.55
SEK 154.33
+3.9%
16.0%SEK 180.00SEK 101.00n/a12
Sep ’25SEK 140.50
SEK 156.46
+11.4%
14.7%SEK 185.00SEK 112.00n/a13
Aug ’25SEK 143.34
SEK 159.69
+11.4%
14.9%SEK 185.00SEK 110.00n/a13
Jul ’25SEK 156.58
SEK 160.75
+2.7%
17.0%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
Jun ’25SEK 160.85
SEK 160.17
-0.4%
17.5%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
May ’25SEK 162.05
SEK 160.17
-1.2%
17.5%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
Apr ’25SEK 163.50
SEK 154.58
-5.5%
16.8%SEK 185.00SEK 100.00n/a12
Mar ’25SEK 146.60
SEK 156.00
+6.4%
13.2%SEK 180.00SEK 100.00n/a11
Feb ’25SEK 140.28
SEK 156.82
+11.8%
13.4%SEK 180.00SEK 100.00n/a11
Jan ’25SEK 151.10
SEK 158.45
+4.9%
11.9%SEK 185.00SEK 112.00SEK 140.0011
Dec ’24SEK 157.40
SEK 161.90
+2.9%
13.1%SEK 190.00SEK 112.00SEK 140.3310
Nov ’24SEK 152.75
SEK 159.50
+4.4%
13.8%SEK 190.00SEK 112.00SEK 140.8110
Oct ’24SEK 150.77
SEK 154.33
+2.4%
14.8%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00SEK 148.559
Sep ’24SEK 145.87
SEK 154.33
+5.8%
14.5%SEK 185.00SEK 111.00SEK 140.509
Aug ’24SEK 139.50
SEK 154.33
+10.6%
14.5%SEK 185.00SEK 111.00SEK 143.349
Jul ’24SEK 137.67
SEK 157.00
+14.0%
12.8%SEK 190.00SEK 122.00SEK 156.589
Jun ’24SEK 145.06
SEK 155.56
+7.2%
14.5%SEK 190.00SEK 110.00SEK 160.859
May ’24SEK 140.56
SEK 152.56
+8.5%
14.8%SEK 190.00SEK 110.00SEK 162.059
Apr ’24SEK 136.47
SEK 156.50
+14.7%
17.7%SEK 208.00SEK 110.00SEK 163.508
Mar ’24SEK 147.39
SEK 164.57
+11.7%
14.5%SEK 208.00SEK 134.00SEK 146.607
Feb ’24SEK 149.93
SEK 164.00
+9.4%
15.0%SEK 208.00SEK 130.00SEK 140.287
Jan ’24SEK 134.15
SEK 164.00
+22.3%
15.6%SEK 208.00SEK 130.00SEK 151.107
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
SEK 154.77
Fair Value
9.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/09 19:41
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/09 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is covered by 37 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Martin MelbyeABG Sundal Collier
Varun SikkaAlphaValue
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue