Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)

LSE:0MCK Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 99.8b

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget Valuation

Is 0MCK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MCK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0MCK (SEK142.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK137.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MCK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MCK?

Key metric: As 0MCK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0MCK. This is calculated by dividing 0MCK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0MCK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.2x
EarningsSEK 3.67b
Market CapSEK 99.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MCK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MCK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
MNDI Mondi
16.2x15.8%UK£5.3b
SMDS DS Smith
21.3x8.8%UK£8.2b
FRES Fresnillo
24.3x33.0%UK£4.8b
CRDA Croda International
30.4x15.1%UK£4.9b
0MCK Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget
27.2x13.2%SEK 99.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the peer average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MCK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0MCK 27.2xIndustry Avg. 12.5xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MCK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MCK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.2x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MCK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 142.10
SEK 156.08
+9.8%
13.3%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a12
Nov ’25SEK 140.81
SEK 154.00
+9.4%
15.1%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a12
Oct ’25SEK 148.55
SEK 154.33
+3.9%
16.0%SEK 180.00SEK 101.00n/a12
Sep ’25SEK 140.50
SEK 156.46
+11.4%
14.7%SEK 185.00SEK 112.00n/a13
Aug ’25SEK 143.34
SEK 159.69
+11.4%
14.9%SEK 185.00SEK 110.00n/a13
Jul ’25SEK 156.58
SEK 160.75
+2.7%
17.0%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
Jun ’25SEK 160.85
SEK 160.17
-0.4%
17.5%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
May ’25SEK 162.05
SEK 160.17
-1.2%
17.5%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
Apr ’25SEK 163.50
SEK 154.58
-5.5%
16.8%SEK 185.00SEK 100.00n/a12
Mar ’25SEK 146.60
SEK 156.00
+6.4%
13.2%SEK 180.00SEK 100.00n/a11
Feb ’25SEK 140.28
SEK 156.82
+11.8%
13.4%SEK 180.00SEK 100.00n/a11
Jan ’25SEK 151.10
SEK 158.45
+4.9%
11.9%SEK 185.00SEK 112.00n/a11
Dec ’24SEK 157.40
SEK 161.90
+2.9%
13.1%SEK 190.00SEK 112.00n/a10
Nov ’24SEK 152.75
SEK 159.50
+4.4%
13.8%SEK 190.00SEK 112.00SEK 140.8110
Oct ’24SEK 150.77
SEK 154.33
+2.4%
14.8%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00SEK 148.559
Sep ’24SEK 145.87
SEK 154.33
+5.8%
14.5%SEK 185.00SEK 111.00SEK 140.509
Aug ’24SEK 139.50
SEK 154.33
+10.6%
14.5%SEK 185.00SEK 111.00SEK 143.349
Jul ’24SEK 137.67
SEK 157.00
+14.0%
12.8%SEK 190.00SEK 122.00SEK 156.589
Jun ’24SEK 145.06
SEK 155.56
+7.2%
14.5%SEK 190.00SEK 110.00SEK 160.859
May ’24SEK 140.56
SEK 152.56
+8.5%
14.8%SEK 190.00SEK 110.00SEK 162.059
Apr ’24SEK 136.47
SEK 156.50
+14.7%
17.7%SEK 208.00SEK 110.00SEK 163.508
Mar ’24SEK 147.39
SEK 164.57
+11.7%
14.5%SEK 208.00SEK 134.00SEK 146.607
Feb ’24SEK 149.93
SEK 164.00
+9.4%
15.0%SEK 208.00SEK 130.00SEK 140.287
Jan ’24SEK 134.15
SEK 164.00
+22.3%
15.6%SEK 208.00SEK 130.00SEK 151.107
Dec ’23SEK 141.67
SEK 163.14
+15.2%
15.6%SEK 208.00SEK 130.00SEK 157.407
Nov ’23SEK 130.55
SEK 167.75
+28.5%
13.5%SEK 208.00SEK 130.00SEK 152.758

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Elkem

NOK 11.6b

Engages in the provision of advanced material solutions worldwide.

0SFN

NOK 18.10

7D

0.9%

1Y

-0.3%

Navigator Company

€2.5b

Manufactures and markets pulp and paper products worldwide.

0KLO

€3.52

7D

-2.9%

1Y

-7.0%

NV Bekaert

€1.7b

Provides steel wire transformation and coating technologies worldwide.

0OQJ

€32.44

7D

-0.6%

1Y

-22.0%