Crown Holdings Valuation

Is 0I4X undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0I4X when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0I4X ($80.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($162.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0I4X is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0I4X?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0I4X key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0I4X's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0I4X vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
SMDS DS Smith
10.1x4.3%UK£4.7b
MNDI Mondi
15.5x9.9%UK£6.7b
CRDA Croda International
38.4x15.2%UK£6.6b
FRES Fresnillo
23x-3.3%UK£4.3b
0I4X Crown Holdings
21.4x13.8%US$9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0I4X is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0I4X's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0I4X is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0I4X's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0I4X PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0I4X is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0I4X forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$80.98
US$93.21
+15.1%
8.4%US$112.00US$76.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$79.33
US$92.93
+17.1%
8.4%US$112.00US$78.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$76.55
US$93.98
+22.8%
8.5%US$112.00US$78.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$89.66
US$104.13
+16.1%
9.9%US$118.00US$86.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$92.53
US$99.71
+7.8%
11.6%US$118.00US$75.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$86.78
US$99.07
+14.2%
11.2%US$118.00US$75.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$80.77
US$100.83
+24.8%
10.9%US$118.00US$75.00n/a15
Oct ’24US$85.70
US$105.63
+23.3%
10.7%US$128.00US$86.00n/a15
Sep ’24US$93.62
US$104.97
+12.1%
10.4%US$128.00US$86.00n/a17
Aug ’24US$92.24
US$104.68
+13.5%
10.8%US$128.00US$86.00n/a17
Jul ’24US$86.61
US$98.88
+14.2%
8.5%US$112.00US$80.00n/a17
Jun ’24US$77.12
US$99.35
+28.8%
8.5%US$112.00US$80.00n/a17
May ’24US$86.33
US$99.35
+15.1%
8.5%US$112.00US$80.00n/a17
Apr ’24n/a
US$99.35
0%
9.6%US$121.00US$79.00US$79.3317
Mar ’24US$86.94
US$99.76
+14.8%
8.8%US$121.00US$86.00US$76.5517
Feb ’24n/a
US$94.75
0%
11.0%US$106.00US$71.00US$89.6616
Jan ’24US$82.69
US$93.06
+12.5%
12.0%US$110.00US$71.00US$92.5317
Dec ’23US$82.50
US$92.35
+11.9%
12.3%US$110.00US$71.00US$86.7817
Nov ’23US$69.76
US$92.35
+32.4%
12.3%US$110.00US$71.00US$80.7717
Oct ’23US$90.67
US$122.06
+34.6%
10.8%US$151.00US$100.00US$85.7017
Sep ’23US$92.13
US$123.25
+33.8%
10.1%US$151.00US$103.00US$93.6216
Aug ’23US$100.60
US$123.88
+23.1%
10.0%US$151.00US$103.00US$92.2416
Jul ’23US$92.79
US$136.75
+47.4%
10.6%US$165.00US$110.00US$86.6116
Jun ’23US$105.91
US$139.25
+31.5%
9.3%US$165.00US$118.00US$77.1216
May ’23US$110.00
US$141.75
+28.9%
8.1%US$165.00US$123.00US$86.3316
Apr ’23US$127.12
US$141.19
+11.1%
7.4%US$165.00US$128.00n/a16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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