Ball Corporation

LSE:0HL5 Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.3b

Ball Valuation

Is 0HL5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0HL5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: 0HL5 ($54.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($88.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0HL5 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0HL5?

Key metric: As 0HL5 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0HL5. This is calculated by dividing 0HL5's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0HL5's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.1x
EarningsUS$712.00m
Market CapUS$14.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0HL5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0HL5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.6x
MNDI Mondi
24.5x24.62%UK£4.0b
CRDA Croda International
27.2x15.64%UK£3.8b
ANTO Antofagasta
42.3x13.07%UK£34.1b
FRES Fresnillo
76.4x41.34%UK£25.8b
0HL5 Ball
20.1x10.58%US$14.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0HL5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (42.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0HL5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0HL5 20.1xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0HL5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the Global Packaging industry average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0HL5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0HL5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0HL5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0HL5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$54.11
US$60.31
+11.46%
11.12%US$72.00US$48.00n/a13
Dec ’26US$49.53
US$60.15
+21.44%
11.08%US$72.00US$48.00n/a13
Nov ’26US$46.85
US$61.23
+30.69%
13.36%US$84.00US$48.00n/a13
Oct ’26US$50.07
US$64.23
+28.29%
12.34%US$84.00US$53.00n/a13
Sep ’26US$52.25
US$64.77
+23.96%
11.36%US$84.00US$54.00n/a13
Aug ’26US$56.35
US$63.86
+13.32%
9.95%US$78.00US$54.00n/a14
Jul ’26US$57.81
US$61.01
+5.53%
11.00%US$78.00US$50.00n/a15
Jun ’26US$53.40
US$60.76
+13.78%
10.81%US$78.00US$50.00n/a16
May ’26US$51.20
US$59.71
+16.62%
13.26%US$83.00US$44.00n/a16
Apr ’26US$51.98
US$62.15
+19.56%
14.29%US$83.00US$44.00n/a16
Mar ’26US$52.39
US$62.26
+18.83%
14.20%US$83.00US$44.00n/a16
Feb ’26US$55.60
US$67.81
+21.96%
13.48%US$83.00US$49.00n/a15
Jan ’26US$54.87
US$70.25
+28.05%
10.80%US$83.00US$60.00US$53.1715
Dec ’25US$62.16
US$70.25
+13.02%
10.80%US$83.00US$60.00US$49.5315
Nov ’25US$59.16
US$70.45
+19.09%
11.18%US$83.00US$60.00US$46.8515
Oct ’25US$67.99
US$71.12
+4.60%
11.21%US$83.00US$59.00US$50.0717
Sep ’25US$63.17
US$70.59
+11.74%
11.05%US$83.00US$59.00US$52.2517
Aug ’25US$63.25
US$71.06
+12.34%
11.23%US$83.00US$56.00US$56.3517
Jul ’25US$59.39
US$71.70
+20.73%
10.59%US$83.00US$57.00US$57.8117
Jun ’25US$68.59
US$71.06
+3.60%
10.48%US$83.00US$57.00US$53.4016
May ’25US$68.11
US$70.64
+3.72%
10.42%US$83.00US$57.00US$51.2017
Apr ’25US$67.62
US$65.11
-3.71%
10.60%US$78.00US$50.00US$51.9817
Mar ’25US$64.06
US$62.46
-2.50%
10.74%US$74.00US$50.00US$52.3915
Feb ’25US$59.14
US$58.90
-0.41%
11.38%US$75.00US$50.00US$55.6016
Jan ’25US$57.93
US$58.23
+0.51%
12.64%US$75.00US$46.00US$54.8715
US$61.16
Fair Value
11.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/05 03:11
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/05 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ball Corporation is covered by 29 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ghansham PanjabiBaird
Scott GaffnerBarclays
Michael LeitheadBarclays