Serabi Gold plc

AIM:SRB Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£257.5m

Serabi Gold Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 6/6

Serabi Gold has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 47.3%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 16.4% per year. Serabi Gold's return on equity is 29.1%, and it has net margins of 34.9%.

Key information

47.29%

Earnings growth rate

43.34%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining Industry Growth19.58%
Revenue growth rate16.36%
Return on equity29.09%
Net Margin34.87%
Last Earnings Update31 Dec 2025

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

SRB: Brownfield Drilling And Exploration Programme Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Serabi Gold to reflect an updated fair value of £4.76, a small adjustment from £4.80. They cited refreshed assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.

SRB: Brownfield Drilling Programme And Resource Update Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have left their fair value estimate for Serabi Gold essentially unchanged at £4.80 per share, explaining the stable price target by offsetting tweaks to the discount rate and assumed P/E multiple rather than any major shift in the underlying business outlook. What's in the News Update on Palito Complex and Coringa Mine, including recent operational developments and an overview of the 2025 brownfield exploration programme in both areas (company announcement).

SRB: Brownfield Drilling Results Will Drive Stronger Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Serabi Gold to reflect slightly lower assumed discount rates and modestly adjusted earnings multiples. This points to a more measured risk outlook while keeping the core fair value narrative broadly unchanged.

SRB: Exploration Progress And Resource Update Will Support Stronger Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Serabi Gold slightly to £4.80 from £4.72, reflecting small model adjustments to fair value assumptions, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Updated operational and exploration overview for the Palito Complex and Coringa Mine, including details of the completed 2025 brownfield exploration programme totaling 38,400m of drilling and 154 diamond drill holes, with a subset reporting grades over 3 g/t Au (Key Developments).

SRB: Production Recovery And Guidance Will Underpin Stronger Future Upside Potential

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Serabi Gold to reflect a lower forward P/E assumption of 4.77x, while keeping revenue growth, profit margin and fair value estimates broadly unchanged. This has resulted in a modest reduction in their implied £ per share valuation.

SRB: Rising Production Guidance Will Support Stronger Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target on Serabi Gold to £4.72 from £4.31, citing updated assumptions that include revised discount rates, revenue growth estimates, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News On 30 January 2026, an incident at the Palito underground operation resulted in a fatality linked to a traffic accident underground, with no other personnel injured and production in the affected area expected to resume after Brazilian authorities complete their enquiries (company announcement).

SRB: Rising Gold Production Will Support Stronger Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Serabi Gold to US$4.31 from US$3.69, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of their revised view. What's in the News Serabi Gold issued production guidance for 2026, with expected consolidated gold output of 53,000 ounces to 57,000 ounces (company guidance).

SRB: Higher Production And Lower Risk Profile Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Serabi Gold to reflect a slightly lower future P/E assumption of 5.35x, while keeping fair value broadly unchanged. They are reassessing the stock's risk profile and earnings potential under a marginally reduced discount rate of 8.37%.

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) Performance Completely

Jan 06
Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) Performance Completely

SRB: Rising Gold Output Will Drive Stronger Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target on Serabi Gold slightly higher to reflect a modest improvement in the company’s projected valuation, citing stable long term growth assumptions, resilient profit margins, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple. What's in the News Reported third quarter 2025 gold production of 12,090 ounces, up from 9,489 ounces a year earlier, indicating stronger operational performance (company operating results) Year to date 2025 gold output reached 32,635 ounces, underscoring continued production growth over the period (company operating results) Third quarter 2025 mined ore declined to 51,625 tonnes from 58,682 tonnes a year ago, while milled ore remained broadly stable at 53,991 tonnes versus 54,579 tonnes, highlighting improved grades and processing efficiency (company operating results) Year to date 2025 mined ore totaled 148,581 tonnes and milled ore 153,392 tonnes, reflecting sustained throughput at the company’s operations (company operating results) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at £3.69 per share, indicating no revision to intrinsic value despite operational updates.

SRB: Rising Gold Output And New Resource Report Will Drive Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Serabi Gold slightly to reflect a modest uplift in fair value and forward earnings multiple, while also accounting for more conservative expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Third quarter 2025 gold production rose to 12,090 ounces from 9,489 ounces a year earlier, highlighting improved grades and operational efficiency despite slightly lower mined and milled ore volumes (Announcement of Operating Results).

SRB: Discovery Of New Orebody Will Drive Upside In Coming Quarters

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Serabi Gold, now valuing the company at $3.65 per share because of minor updates to discount rate assumptions and future profit expectations. What's in the News Serabi Gold reported gold production of 12,090 ounces in the third quarter of 2025.

Here's Why Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Nov 12
Here's Why Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

SRB: Gold Output And Resource Expansion Will Drive Further Upside Potential

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Serabi Gold, leaving the fair value estimate unchanged at $3.65 per share. They cited only minor shifts in model assumptions and discount rates.

Production Gains And New Discoveries Will Drive Profitability And Extend Mine Life

Analysts have raised their price target on Serabi Gold from $3.08 to $3.65, citing improved revenue growth expectations and stronger projected profit margins. What's in the News Serabi Gold reported third-quarter gold production of 12,090 ounces, which is significantly higher than the 9,489 ounces produced a year ago.

Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Oct 21
Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Coringa Mine Ramp Up And Palito Processing Will Boost Efficiency

Narrative Update on Serabi Gold Analysts have raised their price target for Serabi Gold from $2.63 to $3.08, citing improved fair value estimates even though there have only been slight changes in revenue growth and profit margin projections. What's in the News Serabi Gold reported third quarter 2025 gold production of 12,090 ounces, up from 9,489 ounces in the previous year.

Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Sep 20
Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Sep 11
Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

We Think Shareholders Will Probably Be Generous With Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) CEO Compensation

Jun 19
We Think Shareholders Will Probably Be Generous With Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) CEO Compensation
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Coringa Mine Ramp Up And Palito Processing Will Boost Efficiency

The Coringa mine's development boosts output and revenue, while integration with Palito reduces costs and enhances margins.

New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB)

Apr 15
New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB)

Is Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) A Risky Investment?

Mar 18
Is Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) A Risky Investment?

The Market Lifts Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Shares 31% But It Can Do More

Feb 27
The Market Lifts Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Shares 31% But It Can Do More

Further Upside For Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% Bounce

Dec 26
Further Upside For Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% Bounce

Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Dec 13
Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Even After 28% Share Price Boost

Nov 05
Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Even After 28% Share Price Boost

Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) Shares Leap 29% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Sep 14
Serabi Gold plc's (LON:SRB) Shares Leap 29% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Aug 22
Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Is Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) A Risky Investment?

Jun 08
Is Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) A Risky Investment?

Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

Feb 29
Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Serabi Gold (LON:SRB)

Feb 07
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Serabi Gold (LON:SRB)

Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Jan 03
Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

We Think Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Nov 18
We Think Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Serabi Gold's (LON:SRB) Returns On Capital

Sep 20
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Serabi Gold's (LON:SRB) Returns On Capital

Is Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Using Too Much Debt?

Aug 09
Is Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Using Too Much Debt?

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Serabi Gold makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

AIM:SRB Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Sep 2512945110
30 Jun 251143890
31 Mar 251023380
31 Dec 24952880
30 Sep 24862090
30 Jun 247611110
31 Mar 24719120
31 Dec 23647110
30 Sep 2362590
30 Jun 2358270
31 Mar 2359-160
31 Dec 2259-160
30 Sep 2261160
30 Jun 2262660
31 Mar 22601060
31 Dec 21631060
30 Sep 2157760
30 Jun 21591060
31 Mar 2159870
31 Dec 2056760
30 Sep 2061860
30 Jun 2060660
31 Mar 2056360
31 Dec 1960460
30 Sep 1954060
30 Jun 1947-460
31 Mar 1947-460
31 Dec 1843-660
30 Sep 1845-460
30 Jun 1851-260
31 Mar 1849-260
31 Dec 1748-260
30 Sep 1747250
30 Jun 1750250
31 Mar 1754350
31 Dec 1653450
30 Sep 1650160
30 Jun 1642150
31 Mar 1639150
31 Dec 1535050
30 Sep 1534340
30 Jun 1531340

Quality Earnings: SRB has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: SRB's current net profit margins (34.9%) are higher than last year (23%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SRB's earnings have grown significantly by 47.3% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: SRB's earnings growth over the past year (126.8%) exceeds its 5-year average (47.3% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: SRB earnings growth over the past year (126.8%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 126.8%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: SRB's Return on Equity (29.1%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/05 02:17
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Serabi Gold plc is covered by 3 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter Mallin-JonesPeel Hunt LLP
Gabriele EjikemeTamesis Partners LLP
David SeersZeus Capital Limited