Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Serabi Gold
What Is Serabi Gold's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Serabi Gold had US$11.4m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$13.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$2.48m.
A Look At Serabi Gold's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Serabi Gold had liabilities of US$17.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$6.23m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$13.9m as well as receivables valued at US$3.11m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$6.19m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Serabi Gold has a market capitalization of US$21.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Serabi Gold boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Importantly, Serabi Gold's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 77% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Serabi Gold's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Serabi Gold has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Serabi Gold's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While Serabi Gold does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$2.48m. Despite the cash, we do find Serabi Gold's EBIT growth rate concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Serabi Gold that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:SRB
Serabi Gold
Engages in the evaluation, exploration, and development of gold and other metals mining projects in Brazil.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.