Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Power Metal Resources plc's (LON:POW) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
Examining Cashflow Against Power Metal Resources' Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to December 2024, Power Metal Resources had an accrual ratio of 0.88. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of UK£3.28m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through UK£4.1m in the last year. We also note that Power Metal Resources' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of UK£4.1m.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Power Metal Resources.
Our Take On Power Metal Resources' Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Power Metal Resources didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Power Metal Resources' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Power Metal Resources as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Power Metal Resources (2 can't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Power Metal Resources' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.