The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Chaarat Gold Holdings Limited (LON:CGH) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Chaarat Gold Holdings
How Much Debt Does Chaarat Gold Holdings Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Chaarat Gold Holdings had US$48.2m of debt, up from US$43.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is Chaarat Gold Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Chaarat Gold Holdings had liabilities of US$77.8m due within a year, and liabilities of US$13.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$753.0k and US$6.83m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$83.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$38.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Chaarat Gold Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Chaarat Gold Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Chaarat Gold Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$77m, which is a fall of 18%. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Chaarat Gold Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$12m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through US$2.6m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Chaarat Gold Holdings (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:CGH
Good value with adequate balance sheet.