The Travelers Companies, Inc.

LSE:0R03 Stock Report

Market Cap: US$60.5b

Travelers Companies Valuation

Is 0R03 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0R03 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0R03 ($267.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($574.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0R03 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0R03?

Key metric: As 0R03 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0R03. This is calculated by dividing 0R03's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0R03's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
EarningsUS$4.51b
Market CapUS$60.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0R03's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0R03 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
ADM Admiral Group
18.5x12.1%UK£7.4b
BEZ Beazley
4.7x-17.9%UK£4.8b
HSX Hiscox
6.2x-2.4%UK£3.5b
DLG Direct Line Insurance Group
6.8x9.1%UK£2.1b
0R03 Travelers Companies
13.4x2.8%US$60.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0R03 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0R03's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0R03 13.4xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies13PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0R03 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0R03's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0R03 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0R03 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0R03 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$267.23
US$264.58
-1.0%
8.9%US$310.00US$214.00n/a21
Nov ’25US$247.46
US$262.67
+6.1%
8.9%US$310.00US$214.00n/a21
Oct ’25US$236.24
US$227.74
-3.6%
8.6%US$286.00US$196.00n/a22
Sep ’25US$225.97
US$224.77
-0.5%
6.8%US$250.00US$196.00n/a21
Aug ’25US$211.24
US$223.91
+6.0%
6.9%US$250.00US$196.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$202.85
US$227.24
+12.0%
6.8%US$252.00US$200.00n/a22
Jun ’25US$213.03
US$228.42
+7.2%
6.3%US$252.00US$202.00n/a22
May ’25US$213.92
US$228.01
+6.6%
6.4%US$252.00US$202.00n/a22
Apr ’25US$230.22
US$218.46
-5.1%
9.6%US$261.00US$175.60n/a23
Mar ’25US$219.32
US$217.11
-1.0%
9.5%US$261.00US$175.60n/a23
Feb ’25US$211.54
US$215.98
+2.1%
9.0%US$247.00US$175.60n/a23
Jan ’25US$190.27
US$193.35
+1.6%
8.4%US$230.00US$167.00n/a22
Dec ’24US$180.98
US$191.68
+5.9%
8.4%US$230.00US$167.00n/a20
Nov ’24US$169.60
US$191.68
+13.0%
8.4%US$230.00US$167.00US$247.4620
Oct ’24US$163.68
US$192.89
+17.8%
8.1%US$230.00US$168.00US$236.2419
Sep ’24US$162.54
US$192.89
+18.7%
8.1%US$230.00US$168.00US$225.9719
Aug ’24US$171.92
US$192.89
+12.2%
8.1%US$230.00US$168.00US$211.2419
Jul ’24US$172.97
US$195.89
+13.2%
7.3%US$230.00US$172.00US$202.8518
Jun ’24US$170.54
US$196.53
+15.2%
7.4%US$230.00US$172.00US$213.0317
May ’24US$181.84
US$196.11
+7.8%
7.6%US$230.00US$165.00US$213.9218
Apr ’24US$171.09
US$197.72
+15.6%
7.0%US$230.00US$175.00US$230.2218
Mar ’24US$184.19
US$198.39
+7.7%
6.9%US$230.00US$175.00US$219.3218
Feb ’24US$185.17
US$198.39
+7.1%
6.9%US$230.00US$175.00US$211.5418
Jan ’24US$188.49
US$183.65
-2.6%
6.6%US$220.00US$168.00US$190.2717
Dec ’23US$188.68
US$184.00
-2.5%
6.4%US$220.00US$168.00US$180.9818
Nov ’23US$184.13
US$182.67
-0.8%
6.3%US$220.00US$168.00US$169.6018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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