We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Direct Line Insurance Group Valuation

Is DLG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DLG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DLG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DLG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

DLG PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for DLG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
BEZ Beazley
21.8x25.0%UK£3.7b
ADM Admiral Group
15.6x8.9%UK£6.1b
SBRE Sabre Insurance Group
16.2x36.0%UK£252.1m
PGH Personal Group Holdings
15.9x13.2%UK£57.3m
DLG Direct Line Insurance Group
9.6x17.0%UK£2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DLG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DLG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DLG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (10.4x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DLG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DLG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.6x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DLG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DLG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DLG (£1.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£5.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DLG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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