Zurich Insurance Group Valuation
Is ZURNZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ZURNZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ZURNZ (CHF538.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF1046.53)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ZURNZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZURNZ?
Key metric: As ZURNZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
What is ZURNZ's PE Ratio? | |
---|---|
PE Ratio | 17.7x |
Earnings | US$4.89b |
Market Cap | US$86.31b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.2x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 5.1x |
PEG Ratio | 1.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ZURNZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 25x | ||
AV. Aviva | 9.7x | 5.9% | UK£12.3b |
LGEN Legal & General Group | 46.8x | 29.6% | UK£13.1b |
PRU Prudential | 24x | 27.3% | UK£16.8b |
ADM Admiral Group | 19.7x | 12.8% | UK£7.9b |
ZURNZ Zurich Insurance Group | 17.7x | 11.0% | CHF 77.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZURNZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ZURNZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?
1 Company | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZURNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ZURNZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 17.7x |
Fair PE Ratio | 15.6x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZURNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | CHF 538.60 | CHF 532.80 -1.1% | 9.4% | CHF 602.00 | CHF 430.00 | n/a | 17 |
Dec ’25 | CHF 556.90 | CHF 516.16 -7.3% | 10.6% | CHF 602.00 | CHF 430.00 | n/a | 17 |
Nov ’25 | CHF 516.20 | CHF 490.81 -4.9% | 9.2% | CHF 580.00 | CHF 410.00 | n/a | 17 |
Oct ’25 | CHF 508.60 | CHF 486.27 -4.4% | 8.8% | CHF 580.00 | CHF 410.00 | n/a | 17 |
Sep ’25 | CHF 492.20 | CHF 476.75 -3.1% | 7.3% | CHF 530.00 | CHF 410.00 | n/a | 15 |
Aug ’25 | CHF 484.40 | CHF 477.25 -1.5% | 8.0% | CHF 535.00 | CHF 410.00 | n/a | 15 |
Jul ’25 | CHF 483.00 | CHF 472.05 -2.3% | 8.2% | CHF 535.00 | CHF 410.00 | n/a | 15 |
Jun ’25 | CHF 473.30 | CHF 466.37 -1.5% | 9.4% | CHF 530.00 | CHF 370.00 | n/a | 15 |
May ’25 | CHF 443.90 | CHF 462.38 +4.2% | 9.3% | CHF 529.00 | CHF 370.00 | n/a | 15 |
Apr ’25 | CHF 485.70 | CHF 452.88 -6.8% | 9.0% | CHF 529.00 | CHF 370.00 | n/a | 15 |
Mar ’25 | CHF 467.80 | CHF 448.33 -4.2% | 9.3% | CHF 529.00 | CHF 370.00 | n/a | 16 |
Feb ’25 | CHF 432.30 | CHF 443.01 +2.5% | 9.1% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 370.00 | n/a | 16 |
Jan ’25 | CHF 438.80 | CHF 447.81 +2.1% | 8.5% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 370.00 | n/a | 16 |
Dec ’24 | CHF 438.60 | CHF 448.45 +2.2% | 8.6% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 370.00 | CHF 556.90 | 16 |
Nov ’24 | CHF 436.50 | CHF 445.55 +2.1% | 9.7% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 345.00 | CHF 516.20 | 15 |
Oct ’24 | CHF 420.30 | CHF 448.15 +6.6% | 10.2% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 345.00 | CHF 508.60 | 16 |
Sep ’24 | CHF 416.30 | CHF 450.12 +8.1% | 9.9% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 492.20 | 16 |
Aug ’24 | CHF 421.20 | CHF 454.21 +7.8% | 9.7% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 484.40 | 16 |
Jul ’24 | CHF 424.40 | CHF 464.96 +9.6% | 9.3% | CHF 520.00 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 483.00 | 17 |
Jun ’24 | CHF 428.70 | CHF 469.61 +9.5% | 9.6% | CHF 532.70 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 473.30 | 17 |
May ’24 | CHF 432.20 | CHF 469.32 +8.6% | 9.3% | CHF 521.99 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 443.90 | 18 |
Apr ’24 | CHF 438.40 | CHF 468.58 +6.9% | 9.7% | CHF 537.12 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 485.70 | 17 |
Mar ’24 | CHF 446.00 | CHF 473.90 +6.3% | 9.8% | CHF 552.52 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 467.80 | 17 |
Feb ’24 | CHF 449.70 | CHF 481.78 +7.1% | 10.7% | CHF 565.13 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 432.30 | 17 |
Jan ’24 | CHF 443.40 | CHF 489.15 +10.3% | 10.0% | CHF 560.00 | CHF 335.00 | CHF 438.80 | 17 |
Dec ’23 | CHF 453.80 | CHF 489.39 +7.8% | 10.0% | CHF 560.00 | CHF 345.00 | CHF 438.60 | 16 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2024/12/23 17:35 |
End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/23 00:00 |
Earnings | 2024/06/30 |
Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Zurich Insurance Group AG is covered by 50 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
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Dieter Hein | AlphaValue |
Daniel Bischof | Baader Helvea Equity Research |
Marco Cavalleri | Banca Akros S.p.A. (ESN) |