AXA Valuation

Is CS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CS (€33.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€71.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CS?

Key metric: As CS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CS. This is calculated by dividing CS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.9x
Earnings€7.18b
Market Cap€70.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
ZURN Zurich Insurance Group
17.6x9.9%CHF 76.7b
601601 China Pacific Insurance (Group)
7.5x-4.3%CN¥288.2b
AIG American International Group
11.9x35.7%US$44.3b
ALV Allianz
12x6.4%€113.7b
CS AXA
9.9x6.2%€70.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CS 9.9xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.9x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€33.51
€40.30
+20.3%
6.4%€44.27€36.00n/a17
Dec ’25€32.98
€40.27
+22.1%
6.3%€44.27€36.00n/a17
Nov ’25€34.28
€39.83
+16.2%
7.1%€44.27€35.00n/a17
Oct ’25€34.42
€39.08
+13.5%
7.0%€44.00€33.90n/a16
Sep ’25€34.40
€38.89
+13.0%
7.0%€43.00€33.90n/a15
Aug ’25€31.81
€38.46
+20.9%
6.5%€43.00€33.90n/a16
Jul ’25€31.26
€38.25
+22.4%
6.6%€43.00€33.90n/a16
Jun ’25€33.05
€37.78
+14.3%
7.4%€43.00€33.00n/a16
May ’25€32.44
€37.36
+15.2%
7.7%€42.00€32.12n/a17
Apr ’25€34.82
€36.83
+5.8%
7.9%€42.00€32.12n/a17
Mar ’25€32.36
€35.26
+9.0%
8.5%€41.50€29.50n/a18
Feb ’25€30.50
€34.91
+14.4%
8.0%€40.00€29.50n/a18
Jan ’25€29.49
€34.38
+16.6%
7.2%€39.00€29.50n/a18
Dec ’24€28.90
€34.14
+18.2%
6.8%€39.00€29.50€32.9818
Nov ’24€28.29
€33.77
+19.4%
8.0%€39.00€29.50€34.2817
Oct ’24€28.18
€33.63
+19.3%
7.5%€39.00€29.50€34.4217
Sep ’24€27.85
€33.57
+20.6%
7.8%€38.00€28.00€34.4017
Aug ’24€27.78
€33.29
+19.8%
7.1%€36.60€28.00€31.8117
Jul ’24€27.03
€33.43
+23.7%
6.9%€36.60€28.00€31.2618
Jun ’24€26.78
€33.27
+24.2%
6.8%€36.60€28.00€33.0519
May ’24€29.57
€32.98
+11.5%
6.2%€36.00€28.00€32.4419
Apr ’24€28.17
€32.98
+17.1%
6.2%€36.00€28.00€34.8219
Mar ’24€29.77
€32.77
+10.1%
5.7%€35.50€28.00€32.3619
Feb ’24€28.61
€32.28
+12.8%
4.9%€35.00€28.00€30.5019
Jan ’24€26.06
€31.62
+21.4%
4.3%€34.00€28.00€29.4919
Dec ’23€27.38
€31.72
+15.9%
3.8%€34.00€29.00€28.9019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 09:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AXA SA is covered by 47 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bassem NeiferAlphaValue
Markus MayerBaader Helvea Equity Research
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.