AXA SA

ENXTPA:CS Stock Report

Market Cap: €84.1b

AXA Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

AXA is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.7% and 7.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.8% in 3 years.

Key information

6.7%

Earnings growth rate

8.50%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth6.2%
Revenue growth rate7.2%
Future return on equity17.80%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated29 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

CS: Technical And Fee-Based Earnings Mix Will Support Re-Rating As Discount Persists

Analysts have nudged their average price target for AXA slightly higher to about €46.07. This reflects modest tweaks to assumptions around discount rates, profit margins and future P/E multiples, alongside recent Street research that includes both upward and downward target revisions clustered around the €46 to €50 range.

CS: Technical And Fee-Based Earnings Shift Will Support Re-Rating As Discount Persists

AXA's analyst price targets have edged higher into a €46 to €50.70 range, as analysts point to improved profitability from technical insurance and fee-based earnings, along with what they view as an ongoing discount to European composite peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of higher price targets for AXA, with analysts largely focused on the mix of technical insurance and fee-based earnings and how that feeds into profitability, earnings stability, and valuation relative to European peers.

CS: Technical And Fee-Based Shift Will Support Re-Rating As Discount Persists

Analysts have nudged AXA's average price target higher to around €48 to €51, citing improved profitability from its focus on technical insurance and fee-based earnings and pointing out that the current valuation still sits at a discount to European composite peers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted positive on AXA, with several banks lifting their price targets into a relatively tight band between €46 and about €51.

CS: Technical And Fee-Based Shift Will Support Re-Rating Versus European Composite Peers

Our AXA fair value estimate has been adjusted from €45.27 to €46.05. This reflects higher analyst price targets in the €46 to €50.70 range and their focus on improved profitability, lower earnings volatility and a reduced P/E assumption.

CS: Technical And Fee-Based Shift Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have nudged their price target for AXA slightly higher to about €45.27 from roughly €45.11, citing continued focus on technical insurance and fee-based earnings that they say is supporting improved profitability and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the shift towards technical insurance and fee-based earnings as a key support for more stable and higher quality profit streams, which they see as supportive of a stronger P/E multiple over time.

CS: Slightly Lower Discount Rate Will Support Forward Earnings Appeal

The analyst fair value estimate for AXA has been adjusted slightly higher to €45.11 from €45.06, as analysts refine their assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate adjusted slightly higher to €45.11 from €45.06.

CS: Stable Assumptions And Slightly Higher Required Return Will Support Forward Earnings Appeal

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for AXA to €45.06 from €44.98, citing adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that together support a marginally higher price target. Valuation Changes Fair value estimate is now set at €45.06, up slightly from €44.98, reflecting a very small adjustment in the model.

CS: Stable Assumptions And Slightly Lower P/E Will Support Forward Earnings Appeal

Analysts have reduced their price target for AXA slightly to about €45, reflecting small adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions and future P/E expectations, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin forecasts broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted slightly from €45.07 to €44.98, indicating a very small reduction in the estimated fair value per share.

CS: Lower Discount Rate Will Support Stronger Forward Earnings Appeal

Analysts have nudged their price target on AXA slightly higher to approximately €45.07 from about €45.04, citing a marginally lower discount rate and modest improvements in projected profit margins that together support a slightly richer valuation multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from approximately €45.04 to about €45.07, reflecting a marginal uplift in the intrinsic valuation estimate.

CS: Modestly Higher Future Multiple Will Support Attractive Upside Potential

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on AXA to €45.04, citing a slightly higher assumed future price to earnings multiple, which more than offsets marginal adjustments to the discount rate and profit margin forecasts. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate unchanged at approximately €45.04 per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment.

CS: Strong Profit Margins And Stable P/E Will Drive Future Gains

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for AXA, increasing it from €44.96 to €45.04. This change is based on modest adjustments to projected revenue growth, profit margins, and discount rates.

CS: Rising Profit Margins And Multiples Will Drive Global Expansion

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for AXA from €44.58 to €44.96, citing incremental improvements in profit margin and expected future earnings multiples as key factors supporting the revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value has increased slightly from €44.58 to €44.96.

These Analysts Think AXA SA's (EPA:CS) Sales Are Under Threat

Aug 05
These Analysts Think AXA SA's (EPA:CS) Sales Are Under Threat

Here's Why AXA (EPA:CS) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Jul 04
Here's Why AXA (EPA:CS) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
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Calculated Market Expansion And Innovative Products Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability

AXA's disciplined pricing and focus on operational excellence aim to enhance profitability in international markets.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ENXTPA:CS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028120,8749,3908,9006,5403
12/31/2027119,0468,9347,2286,4614
12/31/2026113,5218,4916,8596,4274
12/31/202594,6917,27422,24222,670N/A
9/30/202593,9517,20321,37321,822N/A
6/30/202593,2117,13220,50320,974N/A
3/31/202592,2337,13115,95316,426N/A
12/31/202491,2557,13011,40211,878N/A
9/30/202486,1837,431N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202488,5706,6405,9276,392N/A
3/31/202487,1446,6544,7505,192N/A
12/31/202385,7176,6673,5733,992N/A
9/30/202386,1925,9327,2507,673N/A
6/30/202385,2334,8599,1619,580N/A
3/31/202386,0134,8698,7349,143N/A
12/31/202286,7934,8798,3078,705N/A
9/30/202295,6915,9205,3835,737N/A
6/30/2022104,5886,9612,4592,769N/A
3/31/2022113,3807,0314,3184,648N/A
12/31/2021122,1717,1006,1766,526N/A
9/30/2021121,9056,32411,48411,872N/A
6/30/2021121,6395,54816,79217,217N/A
3/31/2021116,9934,26820,96921,376N/A
12/31/2020112,3472,98725,14525,534N/A
6/30/2020110,2322,76919,74220,137N/A
3/31/2020121,6713,19814,05414,482N/A
12/31/2019133,1093,6278,3658,827N/A
6/30/2019124,0371,822N/A5,029N/A
3/31/2019115,2312,064N/A6,332N/A
12/31/2018106,4252,306N/A7,634N/A
9/30/2018114,7093,694N/A9,704N/A
6/30/2018123,0105,509N/A11,773N/A
3/31/2018127,8015,745N/A14,149N/A
12/31/2017132,5925,980N/A16,525N/A
9/30/2017131,8615,831N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2017131,1295,682N/A15,904N/A
3/31/2017129,0805,842N/A14,722N/A
12/31/2016127,0316,001N/A13,539N/A
9/30/2016120,9085,912N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2016114,7845,823N/A16,396N/A
3/31/2016115,1215,536N/A17,311N/A
12/31/2015115,4585,248N/A18,226N/A
9/30/2015119,6565,001N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2015123,8534,753N/A17,201N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CS's forecast earnings growth (6.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: CS's earnings (6.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the French market (12.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CS's revenue (7.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the French market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CS's revenue (7.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/03 18:12
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AXA SA is covered by 35 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Markus MayerBaader Helvea Equity Research
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Valvanera Gómez PastorBanco Santander