Zurich Insurance Group AG

SWX:ZURN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF63.2b

Zurich Insurance Group Valuation

Is ZURN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZURN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZURN (CHF439) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF996.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZURN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZURN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ZURN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.4x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZURN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZURN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
HELN Helvetia Holding
23x12.5%CHF6.4b
BALN Bâloise Holding
26.7x18.4%CHF6.4b
VAHN Vaudoise Assurances Holding
9.8xn/aCHF1.3b
SREN Swiss Re
9.9x7.5%CHF28.9b
ZURN Zurich Insurance Group
16.1x8.9%CHF63.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZURN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZURN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZURN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZURN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZURN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZURN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZURN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF439.00
CHF462.14
+5.3%
9.3%CHF529.00CHF370.00n/a15
Apr ’25CHF486.30
CHF452.88
-6.9%
9.0%CHF529.00CHF370.00n/a15
Mar ’25CHF467.00
CHF448.33
-4.0%
9.3%CHF529.00CHF370.00n/a16
Feb ’25CHF432.40
CHF443.01
+2.5%
9.1%CHF520.00CHF370.00n/a16
Jan ’25CHF439.60
CHF447.81
+1.9%
8.5%CHF520.00CHF370.00n/a16
Dec ’24CHF438.70
CHF448.45
+2.2%
8.6%CHF520.00CHF370.00n/a16
Nov ’24CHF436.80
CHF445.55
+2.0%
9.7%CHF520.00CHF345.00n/a15
Oct ’24CHF420.10
CHF448.15
+6.7%
10.2%CHF520.00CHF345.00n/a16
Sep ’24CHF415.50
CHF450.12
+8.3%
9.9%CHF520.00CHF335.00n/a16
Aug ’24CHF420.80
CHF454.21
+7.9%
9.7%CHF520.00CHF335.00n/a16
Jul ’24CHF424.90
CHF464.96
+9.4%
9.3%CHF520.00CHF335.00n/a17
Jun ’24CHF429.00
CHF469.61
+9.5%
9.6%CHF532.70CHF335.00n/a17
May ’24CHF431.80
CHF469.32
+8.7%
9.3%CHF521.99CHF335.00CHF444.2018
Apr ’24CHF437.70
CHF468.58
+7.1%
9.7%CHF537.12CHF335.00CHF486.3017
Mar ’24CHF446.70
CHF473.90
+6.1%
9.8%CHF552.52CHF335.00CHF467.0017
Feb ’24CHF451.00
CHF481.78
+6.8%
10.7%CHF565.13CHF335.00CHF432.4017
Jan ’24CHF442.30
CHF489.15
+10.6%
10.0%CHF560.00CHF335.00CHF439.6017
Dec ’23CHF453.70
CHF489.39
+7.9%
10.0%CHF560.00CHF345.00CHF438.7016
Nov ’23CHF425.20
CHF489.94
+15.2%
11.2%CHF594.85CHF345.00CHF436.8018
Oct ’23CHF395.00
CHF493.65
+25.0%
11.0%CHF583.63CHF345.00CHF420.1018
Sep ’23CHF423.00
CHF497.70
+17.7%
10.6%CHF585.57CHF370.00CHF415.5018
Aug ’23CHF414.90
CHF490.20
+18.1%
9.0%CHF550.00CHF370.00CHF420.8018
Jul ’23CHF419.90
CHF501.77
+19.5%
7.5%CHF555.00CHF415.00CHF424.9017
Jun ’23CHF436.20
CHF503.36
+15.4%
6.9%CHF555.00CHF415.00CHF429.0017
May ’23CHF445.90
CHF485.98
+9.0%
10.3%CHF548.72CHF370.00CHF431.8018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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