Stock Analysis

Is Deltex Medical Group (LON:DEMG) A Risky Investment?

AIM:DEMG
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Deltex Medical Group plc (LON:DEMG) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Deltex Medical Group

What Is Deltex Medical Group's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Deltex Medical Group had debt of UK£1.75m, up from UK£1.17m in one year. However, it does have UK£611.0k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£1.14m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:DEMG Debt to Equity History September 22nd 2022

A Look At Deltex Medical Group's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Deltex Medical Group had liabilities of UK£2.12m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£1.31m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£611.0k as well as receivables valued at UK£639.0k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£2.18m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Deltex Medical Group is worth UK£6.47m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Deltex Medical Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Deltex Medical Group's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Deltex Medical Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping UK£925k. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled UK£1.7m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Deltex Medical Group (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.