To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Tate & Lyle (LON:TATE) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Tate & Lyle:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = UK£223m ÷ (UK£2.5b - UK£572m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Tate & Lyle has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Food industry average of 8.7% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Tate & Lyle
In the above chart we have measured Tate & Lyle's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Tate & Lyle.
What Can We Tell From Tate & Lyle's ROCE Trend?
There hasn't been much to report for Tate & Lyle's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Tate & Lyle to be a multi-bagger going forward. This probably explains why Tate & Lyle is paying out 33% of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.
In Conclusion...
In a nutshell, Tate & Lyle has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Since the stock has gained an impressive 41% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Like most companies, Tate & Lyle does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Tate & Lyle may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:TATE
Tate & Lyle
Engages in the provision of ingredients and solutions to the food, beverage, and other industries in North America, Asia, Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and Europe.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.